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Tab Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:28 PM
Original message
Report Predicts Population of 9B by 2300
I'm just trying to get through the next 20 years. 300 years from now is off my radar scope. Can you imagine where the BFEE would be by then if they had 300 years to consolidate? I shiver just thinking about it.

Three hundred years from now, the world's population will have stabilized at about 9 billion and we will look forward to living until age 95. In Japan, that bastion of longevity, people will be hanging around until they're 106.

India, China and the United States will still be the most populous countries on the planet — if they still exist — and Africa's share of the world's population will double to 25 percent. The average woman will give birth to two children.
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=535&ncid=535&e=19&u=/ap/20041105/ap_on_re_ca/un_world_population
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Randi_Listener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:29 PM
Response to Original message
1. Does that fucking estimate...
Edited on Fri Nov-05-04 10:39 PM by Randi_Listener
...include post-Armageddon society?
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indigobusiness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. Ha...2300...
as if.
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LifeDuringWartime Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:32 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. seems optimistic to me
within our lifetimes? probably not, but within the next generation's lifetimes maybe
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indigobusiness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 11:35 PM
Response to Reply #4
12. Seems absurd to me...
2300...humans??? nah.
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BlueEyedSon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:32 PM
Response to Original message
3. I predict 2B by 2300
after all the oil is gone, agriculture will be back to the 1700's
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lakeguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:32 PM
Response to Original message
5. hahahahaha-
never gonna happen. peak oil and global warming will stop us way short. try 1 billion by 2300!
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eleonora Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
6.  and the old will be food for the young too haha
Edited on Fri Nov-05-04 10:35 PM by eleonora
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LVdem Donating Member (375 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 12:28 AM
Response to Reply #6
14. SOYLENT GREEN IS PEOPLE...
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billyoc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:36 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. Wow, I could have Hell's Kitchen
all to myself! w00t!

I'm trying to imagine an apartment with more than 1 room.

I can't. :(
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Divine Discontent Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:40 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. you guys are too nuts!
funny stuff. when I read this too I thought if the "end" of the way we know things hasn't come by then!!!!!!!!

I'd say if we are, as humans, here, it'll be higher than that, seriously, but I don't think life as we know it will exist, too much technology in the wrong hands equals disaster and for me, at least, the hope of Christ's return.

Can you imagine the OIL, and WATER in the ground lasting much more than 100 years at this rate, let alone the chemicals Shrub and others are allowing into the water & air?????

yeah, right, 2300??? more like 2040.
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Jim Sagle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:39 PM
Response to Original message
8. The way things are going, 98 is more like it.
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Lorien Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 10:49 PM
Response to Original message
10. My prediction? 0
If we last 50 years, we'll be lucky!
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Arioch Donating Member (81 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 11:09 PM
Response to Reply #10
11. This month's Wired
Has a great article describing the precipitous drop in world population.
The drop is everywhere, the US and Japan of course, but also China, India, etc. The Islamic countries have a huge rise in infertility...

The projections in the article show the population of 2050 to be less than that of 1850!!!
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Spider Jerusalem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #11
15. That's EXCELLENT news...
Edited on Sat Nov-06-04 12:45 AM by Spider Jerusalem
a population at 1850 levels (roughly 800 million - 1 billion) would actually be sustainable.

However, the piece in Wired shows a graph of the population GROWTH RATE, not the actual population. It's projected to taper off to 0.5% per annum circa 2050-2060.
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indigobusiness Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 11:37 PM
Response to Reply #10
13. I'm with you.
But the lucky will be those that checked out early.
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megaplayboy Donating Member (81 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 01:31 AM
Response to Original message
16. The longevity estimates are way too low
This is for 300 years from now? What assumptions are they making about medical research/biotechnology?

We could hit a life expectancy of 95 in the next 50 years.

I think 10 billion is the more likely ZPG number. Then if we have the renewable resources to provide everybody on the planet with the equivalent of an upper middle class 1st World quality of life, we'll have a "Star Trek" society. :)
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PretzelzRule Donating Member (402 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 01:34 AM
Response to Original message
17. Um...
Life on this planet isn't going to MAKE it to 2300.

Hell, it may not even make it to 2008.
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mulethree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 01:38 AM
Response to Original message
18. they show 8.9B by 2050
So it must go well above 9B and then downwards to 9B at 2300
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Amigust Donating Member (568 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Nov-06-04 01:47 AM
Response to Original message
19. Doesn't take into consideration the massive kill by
global warming.
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