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George Monbiot (Guardian Utd): Bottom of the barrel

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Jack Rabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-01-03 11:56 PM
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George Monbiot (Guardian Utd): Bottom of the barrel
From the Guardian Unlimited (UK)
Dated Tuesday December 2

Bottom of the barrel
The world is running out of oil - so why do politicians refuse to talk about it?
By George Monbiot

The oil industry is buzzing. On Thursday, the government approved the development of the biggest deposit discovered in British territory for at least 10 years. Everywhere we are told that this is a "huge" find, which dispels the idea that North Sea oil is in terminal decline. You begin to recognise how serious the human predicament has become when you discover that this "huge" new field will supply the world with oil for five and a quarter days.
Every generation has its taboo, and ours is this: that the resource upon which our lives have been built is running out. We don't talk about it because we cannot imagine it. This is a civilisation in denial.
Oil itself won't disappear, but extracting what remains is becoming ever more difficult and expensive. The discovery of new reserves peaked in the 1960s. Every year we use four times as much oil as we find. All the big strikes appear to have been made long ago: the 400m barrels in the new North Sea field would have been considered piffling in the 1970s. Our future supplies depend on the discovery of small new deposits and the better exploitation of big old ones. No one with expertise in the field is in any doubt that the global production of oil will peak before long.
The only question is how long. The most optimistic projections are the ones produced by the US department of energy, which claims that this will not take place until 2037. But the US energy information agency has admitted that the government's figures have been fudged: it has based its projections for oil supply on the projections for oil demand, perhaps in order not to sow panic in the financial markets.

Read more.

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bpilgrim Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 12:25 AM
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1. PEAK OIL
he dissmisses ALTERNATIVE ENERGY like solar out of hand becuase of the PRICE but doesn't mention the actual number but what price could be higher then extinction :shrug:

i think it is obvious that we have to become more efficient - ie hybrid tech, etc - AND develope alternative, clean energy and hope we find an alternative before we run out...

thanks for sharing, good read :toast:

peace
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dweller Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 12:27 AM
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2. Thanks JR, we truly are a civilisation in decline
"Given a choice between a new set of matching tableware and the survival of humanity, I suspect that most people would choose the tableware."

pretty much sums it up. . .

dp
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Vitruvius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 09:16 AM
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3. The key paragraphs are:
"There is one possible solution which no one writing about the impending oil crisis seems to have noticed: a technique with which the British and Australian governments are currently experimenting, called underground coal gasification. This is a fancy term for setting light to coal seams which are too deep or too expensive to mine, and catching the gas which emerges. It's a hideous prospect, as it means that several trillion tonnes of carbon which was otherwise impossible to exploit becomes available, with the likely result that global warming will eliminate life on Earth.

We seem, in other words, to be in trouble. Either we lay hands on every available source of fossil fuel, in which case we fry the planet and civilisation collapses, or we run out, and civilisation collapses.

The only rational response to both the impending end of the oil age and the menace of global warming is to redesign our cities, our farming and our lives. But this cannot happen without massive political pressure, and our problem is that no one ever rioted for austerity.
People tend to take to the streets because they want to consume more, not less. Given a choice between a new set of matching tableware and the survival of humanity, I suspect that most people would choose the tableware.

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