Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Out of the shadows: How banking’s secret system broke down

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Editorials & Other Articles Donate to DU
 
flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 11:19 AM
Original message
Out of the shadows: How banking’s secret system broke down
By Gillian Tett and Paul J Davies

Published: December 16 2007 18:33 | Last updated: December 16 2007 18:33

When the New York markets open on Monday, all eyes will be on Wall Street’s banks. As the US Federal Reserve, in a bid to ease the liquidity crisis, holds a novel type of money market auction to inject some $20bn of funds into financial institutions, investors and policymakers will be watching closely to see how many large banks bid for how much cash – and what that, in turn, indicates about their state of health.

Yet while investors are scrutinising some of the industry’s best-known names, a spectre will be silently haunting events: the state of the little-known, so-called “shadow” banking system

A plethora of opaque institutions and vehicles have sprung up in American and European markets this decade, and they have come to play an important role in providing credit across the financial system. Until the summer, structured investment vehicles (SIVs) and collateralised debt obligations (CDOs) attracted little attention outside specialist financial circles. Though often affiliated to major banks, they were not always fully recognised on balance sheets. These institutions, moreover, have never been part of the “official” banking system: they are unable, for example, to participate in Monday’s Fed auction.

But as the credit crisis enters its fifth month, it has become clear that one of the key causes of the turmoil is that parts of this hidden world are imploding. This in turn is creating huge instability for “real” banks – not least because regulators and bankers alike have been badly wrong-footed by the degree to which the two are entwined.

What we are witnessing is essentially the breakdown of our modern-day banking system, a complex of leveraged lending so hard to understand,” Bill Gross, head of Pimco asset management group recently wrote. “Colleagues call it the ‘shadow banking system’ because it has lain hidden for years, untouched by regulation yet free to magically and mystically create and then package subprime loans in that only Wall Street wizards could explain.”

By any standards, the activities of this shadow realm have become startling. Traditionally, the main source of credit in the financial world was the official banks, which typically forged business by making loans to companies or consumers. They retained this credit risk on their books, meaning that they were on the hook if loans turned sour.

Read Full Text


Just when you think you got the hang of it, then you learn, you don't know Jack. Now, the question is, when are we going to talk about the $300 trillion in derivatives?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
TechBear_Seattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. There is a lot of conspiracy BS mixed in with accurate facts
Just because some aspects of the financial business are not widely known outside of finance does not in any way make them "secret." SVIs and CDOs have been around for decades, and have by and large been fairly stable, dependable investments for life insurance companies, banks and other large investors. It is only with the sub-prime mortgage meldown that they are getting public attention.

The current financial trouble is not trivial, but it is hardly the "breakdown of the banking system" that is article claims. SVIs and CDOs are important, but overall represent a small part of the country's financial stability and health. Far more critical is the falling dollar and increasing petroleum costs, both of which have little to do with the mortgage problems.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 11:43 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. IMO its in the same realm as the subprime where 'specialist' are empowered with information.
And, where standards are seemingly whimsically 'created' to benefit a few. If the SVIs and CDOs were so important then why weren't they on the books?

Isn't this part of the chicken game today? Goldman calling out CitiBank to show its subprime holding?

My experience has taught me, anytime there is an extension such as a separate banking system off the books, that usually means the new device purpose is to patch a broken system.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TechBear_Seattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. Just because they were not always on the balance sheets does not mean they were not on the books
A balance sheet is a summary of assets, liabilities and equity and represents a snap-shot of a company's financial status at a particular moment. Some things, such as income streams, do not fit into any of these three classes and so do not appear on a balance sheet. Depending on how a SVI or CDO is structured, it may fit into the "other" category; it would be improper to put such SVIs and CDOs on a balance sheet.

I'm sorry, but the way the article is written reminds me strongly of creationist proponents whining about how evolution is merely a theory. It invents its own meaning for terminology that, within the field being discussed, has a different meaning entirely.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 12:04 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Your help is needed to bring clarity to a neophyte like me.
At best, I can be classified as a lurker when it comes to the complexities of economics. But, I continue to read to learn more.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TechBear_Seattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 12:34 PM
Response to Reply #5
7. You are correct in saying it is complex
Within the last month and a half, I've taken the brokerage exam (SEC series 7) and the investment advisor exam (SEC series 66.) I've also spent almost 12 years working in a brokerage firm, albeit as the in-house application programmer, web designer and general IT reference person. I barely understand how complex it is, so don't feel bad.

Basically, as I understand it:

Sub prime mortgages were mortgages given to people who would not have otherwise qualified for home loans because they lacked the income and/or good credit history. In exchange for getting a loan they could not afford, they agreed to pay a significantly higher interest rate. Because they could not afford the loan, they agreed to loan terms that were not the traditional portion of interest + portion of principal. A great many of these non-standard loans involved balloon payments, ie a small amount (typically interest-only) for a few years, with principal being added to that in latter payments. Such loans had two assumptions built in to them: That the borrowers would be in an improved financial situation when the payments ballooned and could afford a huge increase in payments, and that the housing market remained hot so that if the borrower defaulted, the loan company could foreclose on the home and sell it quickly for a profit. Neither assumption has panned out, with the result that 1) borrowers are defaulting in record numbers because few can afford the balloon payments, 2a) banks that do foreclose are unable to sell the properties quickly and so have a large amount of capital tied up in real estate and 2b) banks that do foreclose are forced to sell the properties at a big loss in order to free up the capital that would be otherwise tied up. This is obviously bad for the borrower, as they have lost all of the money they paid plus legal fees plus their homes plus whatever equity they had put in for improvements. This is also bad for the banks, as they either have a lot of tied up money that is not increasing or they have a large number of losses.

I am in no way minimizing the negative impact this is having, both on the tragedy of people losing their homes or on the layoffs and such caused by lending institutions having to cut losses. But when you pull back and look at the national economy as a whole, you see that this represents a relatively small part of the banking industry and the country's overall economic health. That is not to say that our financial institutions are on solid ground, mind you; there are woes aplenty. The rate of inflation continues to increase, the US dollar has dropped to record lows in the international money market and continues to decline, petroleum prices skyrocket which drives up the cost of producing and distributing most goods, job losses continue because of off-shoring and consolidation, and average incomes shrink because high paying union and manufacturing jobs are being replaced by low paying service work. These problems have a much more profound impact on the US economy. However, these problems are not as personal as the sub-prime mortgage problem; they are more abstract and too big to really look at closely. The result is that the sub-prime mortgage problem is getting attention quite out of proportion to its importance.

Also, keep in mind that some 65% to 70% of people with a mortgage have a more traditional loan arrangement and are not directly affected by the sub-prime mortgage mess. Where these people have problems is where they are trying to sell a home and are affected by the overall slowdown in the housing market, which has much more to do with house prices having gotten way overinflated over the last 15 years than with the sub-prime mortgage market.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
flashl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 02:26 PM
Response to Reply #7
9. Graduations on your career move!
I am in agreement on the theory and principle of subprime mortgages. However, I've watch this new "vehicle", subprime, spring up from ashes after groups such as ACORN thought they had put the final stake into predatory mortgage lenders.

For years (IIRC early 90s), companies such as Fleet, BancBoston, and now Countrywide have operated on in a manner that have caused homeowners and states attorney generals across the country to unite in classaction lawsuits. Getting people in this country to unite is a hard thing to do, but these companies have been very successful.

Believe it or not, to my dismay, today as I was surfing TV channels to find the FISA hearings, there was a Countrywide ‘refi’ commercial. They are still at it.

There is one thing that I am sure of and that is this, there nothing benevolent or altruist on the fringes of the mortgage industry. Extensive reporting about mortgage fraud and mortgage broker tactics, should disabuse anyone from believing that homeowners were savvy enough to 'trick' brokers into 'giving' them no doc loans.

I like your glass is half full view. Maybe, one day, I will be able to see it that way too.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
jaksavage Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 12:25 PM
Response to Reply #1
6. Three strikes and
we are out.

Fuel
dollar
sub prime
global warming
trade imbalance
lack of domestic savings

Damn where are our balls.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TechBear_Seattle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 12:35 PM
Response to Reply #6
8. In India, Taiwan and China, I believe
They were offshored long ago.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
dantyrant Donating Member (278 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-17-07 11:37 AM
Response to Original message
2. It's considerably more than $300T in derivatives...
According to the Bank of International Settlements, it's somewhere north of $700T.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Mon May 06th 2024, 10:24 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Editorials & Other Articles Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC