CQ Politics Blog
Jeff Stein, September 17, 2008
The attack on the American Embassy in Yemen serves notice that the recent claims of al Qaeda's demise were premature.
Only two days ago, the State Department's top counter-terrorism official claimed that al Qaeda was "imploding" and had "no popular appeal".
"Absolutely it's imploding. It's imploding because it's not a message that resonates with a lot of Muslims," Dell Dailey, the State Department's coordinator for counterterrorism, told the Associated Press.
And four months ago, CIA Director Michael Hayden said that, while al Qaeda had plenty of punch left, it was "essentially defeated in Iraq and Saudi Arabia and on the defensive throughout much of the rest of the world, including in its presumed haven along the Afghanistan-Pakistan border."
But the attack early Wednesday on the U.S. embassy in Sa'ana, carried out by a large team of operatives in military fatigues, leaves no doubt that the terrorist movement still has a capability to shock.
A group that calls itself Islamic Jihad of Yemen claimed responsibility for the attack, which left 16 dead, none of them Americans.
U.S. officials could not verify the claims of responsibility, but a State Department official told Reuters the attack "bears all the hallmarks" of al-Qaeda
State Department spokesman Sean McCormack told reporters the attackers apparently sought to breach the embassy's walls.
Their aim might have been to overpower the embassy guards, take hostages and influence the American presidential elections, as Iranian militants did in Tehran in 1979, said a retired spy familiar with the area. He asked that his name not be used because all the details of the attack were not yet known.
It seems like the team was large enough to do more than just blow something up.
Tactically it would have been interesting: Think Tehran-like embassy takeover, in the middle of a presidential election, hostages being executed on live TV. It would have to be a resolved by an assault, which the Yemenis are not trained to do.
Journalist Peter Bergen, an authority on al Qaeda, said Yemen remains an ideal place for terrorists to operate.
"The Yemeni central government is very weak, it doesn't control its own territory," said Bergen, author of
The Bin Laden I Know: An Oral History of Al Qaeda's Leader, among other works.
Its population is, per capita, one of the most well-armed in the world. It's mountainous territory, in the Arabian peninsula, a perfect place for AQ to thrive, as we have seen with a string of terror attacks that goes back to 1992.
The USS Cole was bombed there on Oct. 17, 2008, exactly eight years ago next month.
(continued)
http://blogs.cqpolitics.com/spytalk/2008/09/yemen-bombers-may-aimed-to-tak.html___________________________________________________________________
Well... if it's true that Al Quaeda is trying to take hostages to influence our election (again) as the writer suggests (and I'm sure he's very knowledgeable about this, or his sources are), then the logical conclusion is that AQ wants the Repubs to win, since McC is the one a terrorist incident would help.
Hmmm. So either that means 1) AQ is actually subcontracting for the Repubs; or 2) if AQ is not being paid by them and is really doing this as its own idea, then it means that AQ is less afraid of the Repubs than of the Dems. Neither possibility is very positive for McC, is it?
So that means this incident should be a HUGE talking point for Obama. After all of this huff-n-puff about National Security creds, it turns out this proves that Obama is better at it after all! AQ is dead-scared of him, to take this action. B/c if McC wants to argue that isn't true, he can only do it by admitting that the U.S. bankrolls AQ. (I doubt that he'd be willing to admit that.)
Interesting... If I were Obama, I'd be sure to make that point, and make sure it's out there on the record, before a second attempt at hostage-taking or something similar is tried. It might cause whoever is the "brains" behind it to reconsider whether that's a very good idea.