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Washington Post: Should Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin run for reelection in 2010?

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steven johnson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-03-09 07:14 PM
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Washington Post: Should Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin run for reelection in 2010?
So who wants to be the frontrunner for the 'torture, disinformation, and corporate tax cuts' party?

Sarah Palin still has toadies like Mit Romney to contend with.


• Geography is Destiny: Being from Alaska is a HUGE hurdle for Palin's national ambitions from a logistical point of view. Alaska is four hours behind east coast time and takes the better part of a day to travel to or from. That means that Palin, if she is committed to running for reelection, can't simply pop into Iowa or New Hampshire for the day -- she needs to take at least two days away from Alaska (a fact her Democratic opponents are sure to take note of) to do the sort of soil-tilling in these early primary and caucus states that is absolutely necessary for a presidential candidate.

• Not A Good Time to Be Governor: While every politician in the country wanted to be a governor earlier this decade (budget surpluses, a chance to innovate), the political landscape has shifted significantly as the economy has collapsed. Governors all over the country face serious political peril as a result -- with voters almost certain to be unhappy about the measures that their chief executives will need to take to close budget gaps.

• Building a Machine: Palin has begun -- in fits and starts -- to build a national political apparatus of the sort required to run for president. But, she has met with trouble around nearly every corner, with miscommunication between her team in Alaska and her team in Washington as the constant theme. To be taken seriously as a presidential candidate by Washington's chattering class -- a not unimportant part of the "Invisible Primary" process -- Palin must rehab her image, which has taken a serious hit since she was chosen by Sen. John McCain (Ariz.) as his running mate.


http://voices.washingtonpost.com/thefix/eye-on-2012/why-sarah-palin-shouldnt-run-f.html
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Xipe Totec Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-03-09 07:16 PM
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1. Yes!
Humiliation is good for the soul.
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MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-03-09 07:27 PM
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2. Yes! Losing will take her out of the national limelight permanently.
Same with Dim Polenta in Minnesota. He's decided not to run for Governor again. Why? Because he knows he will lose. And yet, he doesn't now have national creds, so being a non-governor and a non-elected official, he will get to become a non-entity.

Losing would cost him any consideration as a Presidential candidate. Having no political office will do the same. It's a wonderful lose-lose situation.
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StevieM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jun-04-09 02:49 AM
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4. I look at it a little differently
I think Pawlenty does realize that he stands a pretty good shot of being defeated, like the way that Romney thought that he might lose in Massachusetts if he ran again in 06.

I also think that Pawlenty will win the GOP nomination, unless Romney just totally drowns him in money to an insane point. I can't see Huckabee getting over the top, especially if Pawlenty beats him in Iowa, which I think he will. Petraeus says he won't run. I don't see Jindal or Palin running this soon. People like John Thune will get nowhere. So that leaves Pawlenty and Romney. My guess is that Pawlenty will get by him with wins in IA and SC, and then pull ahead if he can raise enough money for Super Tuesday.

In the case of Palin it's trickier. I think she knows that she can't win the presidency in 2012 so she'll wait for a later date.

But I just don't think it's likely that we'll win the governorship of Alaska. Regardless of Palin's numbers nationally, they aren't bad in Alaska (although not what they once were). Also, it's a pretty Republican state. We just barely beat Ted Stevens and Don Young was re-elected. So I wouldn't count on winning that one.

Steve
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HysteryDiagnosis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Jun-03-09 07:30 PM
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3. If at first you don't succeed, keep on suckin' 'til you do succeed. n/t
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