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Japan's Quake Could Have Irradiated the Entire United States

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ellenrr Donating Member (619 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 11:18 AM
Original message
Japan's Quake Could Have Irradiated the Entire United States
from Counterpunch:
Had the violent 8.9 Richter-scale earthquake that has just savaged Japan hit off the California coast, it could have ripped apart at least four coastal reactors and sent a lethal cloud of radiation across the entire United States.

The two huge reactors each at San Onofre and Diablo Canyon are not designed to withstand such powerful shocks. All four are extremely close to major faults. All four reactors are located relatively low to the coast. They are vulnerable to tsunamis like those now expected to hit as many as fifty countries.
...
Heavy radioactive fallout spread from Chernobyl blanketed all of Europe within a matter of days. It covered an area far larger than the United States. Fallout did hit the jet stream and then the coast of California, thousands of miles away, within ten days. It then carried all the way across the northern tier of the United States.
...
The Obama Administration is now asking Congress for $36 billion in new loan guarantees to build more commercial reactors. It has yet to reveal its exact plans for dealing with a major reactor disaster. Nor has it identified the cash or human reserves needed to cover the death and destruction imposed by the reactors' owners.



http://www.counterpunch.org/wasserman03112011.html
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ananda Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 11:32 AM
Response to Original message
1. This is a good article.
Very sobering and cautionary.
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ellenrr Donating Member (619 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
2. Japan's Quake Could Have Irradiated the Entire United States
from Counterpunch:
Had the violent 8.9 Richter-scale earthquake that has just savaged Japan hit off the California coast, it could have ripped apart at least four coastal reactors and sent a lethal cloud of radiation across the entire United States.

The two huge reactors each at San Onofre and Diablo Canyon are not designed to withstand such powerful shocks. All four are extremely close to major faults. All four reactors are located relatively low to the coast. They are vulnerable to tsunamis like those now expected to hit as many as fifty countries.
...
Heavy radioactive fallout spread from Chernobyl blanketed all of Europe within a matter of days. It covered an area far larger than the United States. Fallout did hit the jet stream and then the coast of California, thousands of miles away, within ten days. It then carried all the way across the northern tier of the United States.
...
The Obama Administration is now asking Congress for $36 billion in new loan guarantees to build more commercial reactors. It has yet to reveal its exact plans for dealing with a major reactor disaster. Nor has it identified the cash or human reserves needed to cover the death and destruction imposed by the reactors' owners.



http://www.counterpunch.org/wasserman03112011.html
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bemildred Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Well, that would be one way to solve the peak oil crisis. nt
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MineralMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. It appears that a glitch has caused your post to be made three
times. You could alert on two of those and the mods will cut it down to one. This stuff happens. Whenever I post, I always check to see if the post has appeared, even if some error message makes it seem like it didn't. Before I post, I always copy the post to the Windows clipboard so I can report it in case the original post didn't work.
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ellenrr Donating Member (619 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 04:45 AM
Response to Reply #4
8. done. Thanks, I was wondering how to delete the dupes. n/t
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Gregorian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 12:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
5. The planet just can't afford a nuclear meltdown, however unlikely it may be.
There are very few intelligent human beings. We cannot afford to cater to the masses of idiots. I can't help but say this, even if it's offensive. A few people developed concepts that enabled us to create a lifestyle that avoids hardship. Just because the masses are used to something doesn't mean we need to sustain it. Whenever I think this way I immediately envision people in hospital beds. We can't just turn off the electricity. But then we also cannot make this planet uninhabitable, whether it's global warming, or irradiation.

It's time to change gears. Sorry, Koch industries.

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cui bono Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 01:33 PM
Response to Original message
6. Silly Counterpunch. Nuclear energy is clean energy, mkay?
Edited on Sun Mar-13-11 01:33 PM by cui bono
:sarcasm:


What happened to all those No Nukes music festivals?



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Uncle Joe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-13-11 04:58 PM
Response to Original message
7. Kicked and recommended.
Thanks for the thread, ellenrr.
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skepticscott Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 05:10 AM
Response to Original message
9. Th burning of fossil fuels
is already sending "lethal clouds" across the entire United States (and the rest of the world, for that matter), and has been for a very, very long time. It just doesn't have the scare factor of ooooohhhhhh...radiation! So what was the point here again?

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fasttense Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 09:48 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. Just because the oil industry has polluted the world, does not mean
we should add radiation to the list of common pollutants.

Just because we have one disaster on our hands, does not make another disaster a ok.
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skepticscott Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 04:48 PM
Response to Reply #10
16. It is a matter of weighing risks and benefits
The point is that none of our major energy sources right now is 100% safe and clean. I'd love it if all our needs could be supplied by solar and wind, but I'm not willing to abandon all other options on the hope that they will be ready to do that before fossil fuels get too tight.
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Lastactiongyro Donating Member (254 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 10:39 AM
Response to Original message
11. At least we wouldnt have to worry about teabaggers anymore. Wrecking the
United States.
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fatbuckel Donating Member (518 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 11:46 AM
Response to Original message
12. Really? How many deaths are a result of coal?
Deaths statistics from the fuel chain for coal and nuclear

Higher level of deaths from coal in public health would be related to the increased deaths from particulates. The deaths totals are more from coal occupation are mining.

The World Health Organization and other sources attribute about 1 million deaths/year to coal air pollution. Coal generates about 6200 TWh out of the world total of 15500 TWh of electricity. This would be 161 deaths per TWh.
In the USA about 30,000 deaths/year from coal pollution from 2000 TWh. 15 deaths per TWh.
In China about 500,000 deaths/year from coal pollution from 1800 TWh. 278 deaths per TWh.

The construction of existing 1970-vintage U.S. nuclear power plants required 40 metric tons (MT) of steel and 190 cubic meters (m3) of concrete per average megawatt of electricity (MW(e)) generating capacity. For comparison, a typical wind energy system operating with 6.5 meters-per-second average wind speed requires construction inputs of 460 MT of steel and 870 m**3 of concrete per average MW(e). Coal uses 98 MT of steel and 160 m**3 of concrete per average MW(e); & natural-gas combined cycle plants use 3.3 MT steel and 27 m**3 concrete.

Metal/Nonmetal fatalities in the USA (iron and concrete components mainly)

Coal and fossil fuel deaths usually do not include deaths caused during transportation. The more trucking and rail transport is used then the more deaths there are. The transportation deaths are a larger component of the deaths in the USA than direct industry deaths. Moving 1.2 billion tons of coal takes up 40% of the freight rail traffic and a few percent of the trucking in the USA.

Uranium mining is a lot safer because insitu leaching (the main method of uranium mining) involves flushing acid down pipes. No workers are digging underground anymore. Only about 60,000 tons of uranium are needed each year so that is 200 times less material being moved than for coal plants.

But what about Chernobyl ?
The World Health Organization study in 2005 indicated that 50 people died to that point as a direct result of Chernobyl. 4000 people may eventually die earlier as a result of Chernobyl, but those deaths would be more than 20 years after the fact and the cause and effect becomes more tenuous.

He explains that there have been 4000 cases of thyroid cancer, mainly in children, but that except for nine deaths, all of them have recovered. "Otherwise, the team of international experts found no evidence for any increases in the incidence of leukemia and cancer among affected residents."


Averaging about 2100 TWh from 1985-2005 or a total of 42,000 TWh. So those 50 deaths would be 0.0012 deaths/TWh. If those possible 4000 deaths occur over the next 25 years, then with 2800 TWh being assumed average for 2005 through 2030, then it would be 4000 deaths over 112,000 TWh generated over 45 years or 0.037 deaths/TWh. There are no reactors in existence that are as unsafe as the Chernobyl reactor was. Even the eight of that type that exist have containment domes and operate with lower void co-efficients.
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reorg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 12:15 PM
Response to Reply #12
13. Here are the numbers from Greenpeace
Chernobyl death toll grossly underestimated

A new Greenpeace report has revealed that the full consequences of the Chernobyl disaster could top a quarter of a million cancer cases and nearly 100,000 fatal cancers.
zoom

Our report involved 52 respected scientists and includes information never before published in English. It challenges the UN International Atomic Energy Agency Chernobyl Forum report, which predicted 4,000 additional deaths attributable to the accident as agross simplification of the real breadth of human suffering.

The new data, based on Belarus national cancer statistics, predicts approximately 270,000 cancers and 93,000 fatal cancer cases caused by Chernobyl. The report also concludes that on the basis of demographic data, during the last 15 years, 60,000 people have additionally died in Russia because of the Chernobyl accident, and estimates of the total death toll for the Ukraine and Belarus could reach another 140,000.

The report also looks into the ongoing health impacts of Chernobyl and concludes that radiation from the disaster has had a devastating effect on survivors; damaging immune and endocrine systems, leading to accelerated ageing, cardiovascular and blood illnesses, psychologicalillnesses, chromosomal aberrations and an increase in foetal deformations.

http://www.greenpeace.org/international/en/news/features/chernobyl-deaths-180406/
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fatbuckel Donating Member (518 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 01:06 PM
Response to Reply #13
14. Oh,well, Greenpiece has their own study. Where have I seen that before?
Fox News.
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reorg Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-14-11 02:23 PM
Response to Reply #14
15. it's not just Greenpeace, but feel free to stick with Fox News
... The fallout from the disaster has directly affected over nine million people in Belarus, Ukraine and western Russia. The people of these countries were exposed to radioactivity 90 times greater than that released by the atom bomb dropped on Hiroshima. The UN has declared the disaster the worst environmental catastrophe in history.

It is the country of Belarus which has suffered, and continues to suffer, most from the disaster: 70 per cent of the radiation has fallen on its land and people. Mr Vladislav Ostapenko, head of Belarus's Radiation Medicine Institute, told a recent press conference that "science cannot yet completely assess the consequences of the Chernobyl accident, but it is plain that a demographic catastrophe has occurred in our country. "We are now seeing genetic changes, especially among those who were less than six years of age when the accident happened and they were subjected to radiation. These people are now starting families."

Medical research has shown that radioactive elements (primarily caesium 137 and iodine 131) cross the placental barrier from mother to foetus, contaminating each new generation. Faced with soaring levels of infertility and genetic changes, the gene pool of the Belarussian people is now under threat. The rates of thyroid cancer have increased by 2,400 per cent in the 15 years since the disaster and this figure is expected to continue to rise. There has been a 1,000 per cent increase in suicides in the contaminated zones and a 250 per cent increase in congenital birth deformities.

... The Chernobyl disaster has financially crippled Belarus. It has cost the country 25 per cent of its annual national budget and it is estimated that by 2015 the fallout from the accident will have cost Belarus $235 billion.

The Irish Times, April 26, 2001
http://www.ratical.com/radiation/Chernobyl/Belarus2001.html
Neighbours count cost of Chernobyl disaster

President Leonid Kuchma told Ukrainian radio listeners on Sunday that Ukraine had lost about $120bn to $130bn, or six times its annual budget revenue, thanks to the disaster.

The Belarusian Emergency Situations Minister Ivan Kenik said his country had lost $35bn, while vast tracts of farm land in the south-east are only gradually being brought back into use. Mr Kenik said Belarus will allocate 9% of its revenue this year to Chernobyl-based programmes.

More than 1.8 million people, including about 500,000 children, are living in the contaminated zone of Belarus around the city of Homel, over which the radiation cloud passed from nearby Chernobyl in April 1986.

Mr Kuchma said the greatest concern for Ukraine was the genetic impact the fallout might have on future generations. Scientists, he added, are still trying to estimate the possible impact.

BBC News, 26 April, 1998
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/world/monitoring/83969.stm
... We aren’t finished with Chernobyl. The scientists admit that the sarcophagus which encases the damaged nuclear reactor is now cracking open and leaking out lethal doses of radiation. In 1988 Soviet scientists announced that the sarcophagus was only designed for a lifetime of 20 to 30 years. Holes and fissures in the structure now cover 100 square metres, some of which are large enough to drive a car through. These cracks and holes are further exacerbated by the intense heat inside the reactor, which is still over 200 degrees Celsius. The sarcophagus’s hastily and poorly built concrete walls, which are steadily sinking, act as a lid on the grave of the shattered reactor. ...
It took 17 years to get an agreement to rebuild the crumbling sarcophagus at the cost of $1 billion. Chernobyl’s debris will be radioactive for hundreds of thousands of years ...

http://www.chernobyl-international.com/chernobyl-sarcophagus.html
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