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A contagion of bad ideas ( Joseph Stiglitz )

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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 10:33 AM
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A contagion of bad ideas ( Joseph Stiglitz )
Financial distress isn't the only thing that moves easily across borders - so do misguided economic policies

August 8, 2011

The Great Recession of 2008 has morphed into the North Atlantic Recession: it is mainly Europe and the United States, not the major emerging markets, that have become mired in slow growth and high unemployment. And it is Europe and the US that are marching, alone and together, to the denouement of a grand debacle. A busted bubble led to a massive Keynesian stimulus that averted a much deeper recession, but that also fueled substantial budget deficits. The response - massive spending cuts - ensures that unacceptably high levels of unemployment (a vast waste of resources and an oversupply of suffering) will continue, possibly for years.

The European Union has finally committed itself to helping its financially distressed members. It had no choice: with financial turmoil threatening to spread from small countries like Greece and Ireland to large ones like Italy and Spain, the euro's very survival was in growing jeopardy. Europe's leaders recognised that distressed countries' debts would become unmanageable unless their economies could grow, and that growth could not be achieved without assistance.

But, even as Europe's leaders promised that help was on the way, they doubled down on the belief that non-crisis countries must cut spending. The resulting austerity will hinder Europe's growth, and thus that of its most distressed economies: after all, nothing would help Greece more than robust growth in its trading partners. And low growth will hurt tax revenues, undermining the proclaimed goal of fiscal consolidation.

The discussions before the crisis illustrated how little had been done to repair economic fundamentals. The European Central Bank's vehement opposition to what is essential to all capitalist economies - the restructuring of failed or insolvent entities' debt - is evidence of the continuing fragility of the Western banking system.

in full: http://english.aljazeera.net/indepth/opinion/2011/08/20118765237109365.html
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xchrom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 10:38 AM
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1. Recommend
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chill_wind Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 10:53 AM
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2. The recent debt deal is a move in the wrong direction.
But we knew that.



Optimists argue that the short-run macroeconomic impact of the deal to raise the US debt ceiling and prevent sovereign default will be limited - roughly $25bn in expenditure cuts in the coming year. But the payroll-tax cut (which put more than $100bn into the pockets of ordinary Americans) was not renewed, and surely business, anticipating the contractionary effects down the line, will be even more reluctant to lend.

The end of the stimulus itself is contractionary. And, with housing prices continuing to fall, GDP growth faltering, and unemployment remaining stubbornly high (one of six Americans who would like a full-time job still cannot get one), more stimulus, not austerity, is needed - for the sake of balancing the budget as well. The single most important driver of deficit growth is weak tax revenues, owing to poor economic performance; the single best remedy would be to put Americans back to work. The recent debt deal is a move in the wrong direction.

There has been much concern about financial contagion between Europe and the US. After all, the US' financial mismanagement played an important role in triggering Europe's problems, and financial turmoil in Europe would not be good for the US - especially given the fragility of the US banking system and the continuing role it plays in non-transparent CDSs.

But the real problem stems from another form of contagion: bad ideas move easily across borders, and misguided economic notions on both sides of the Atlantic have been reinforcing each other. The same will be true of the stagnation that those policies bring.




K & R
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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 11:49 AM
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4. That the WH has ignored him on just about every front is a constant reminder
that more hardship is inevitable for many. So needlessly too....makes ya crazy/angry just thinking about it.
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Overseas Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 11:08 AM
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3. K&R.
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Demeter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Aug-08-11 12:34 PM
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5. A Corrupt Government, With Both Hands in Business' Pockets

is not going to be ABLE to stop the moral rot on Wall St. Even if it wanted to. Which it really doesn't.
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