In the late '90s, it became fashionable among patriotically inclined Russian experts to predict the imminent collapse of the dollar. Instead, the ruble collapsed. Yet it seems that indeed all is not well with the dollar. "None of my clients are keeping their money in dollars anymore," a well-known Viennese lawyer admitted. "Some major unpleasantness is on the way."
It's no secret that the dollar has been sinking versus the euro. The question is whether this reflects a large-scale trend. The 2004 elections in the United States marked the end of an era. During Bush's first term, the world continued to hope that this was all nothing more than a bad dream that had to end sooner or later. Waking proved far worse than the nightmare itself, however. The problem is not that the majority of people on the planet do not accept Bush or his policies, but that "Bushism" reflects certain long-term trends in the American economy, American society and, when all is said and done, in the world system.
For half a decade, the United States has financed its growth using other countries' capital, countries drawn to high exchange rates of the dollar, the surrogate world currency. International trade and financial organizations such as the World Bank, IMF and WTO institutionalized this order by defending the dollar and free trade (which on the global scale amounts to one and the same thing). Ideologues called this globalization.
From the perspective of the United States, all these problems seem rather immaterial. In the end, local manufacturing will become more competitive, the burden of dollar-denominated international debt will lighten and the money saved on debt will help the United States continue the war in Iraq or come up with a whole new war. Yet this not-so-splendid isolation will have its dark side. If you provoke a world crisis, it may come back to haunt you.
http://www.themoscowtimes.com/stories/2004/11/25/008.html