who do you think will be the first candidate to drop out of the race?

my gut tells me it will be Joe Lieberman even before Iowa due to 1) falling poll numbers nationally and in key states and 2) lackluster fund-raising. His appearance on Wolf's show today cried of desperatiion.

that would trim the field nicely

to get a VP slot--he'd round out an Edwards or a Gephardt (perish the thought) candidency very well, and might even go well with Dean. He'd give them a more reasonable claim to be strong on national security.

Bryant
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Gephardt and Lieberman will be out after South Carolina.

Graham will stay in a couple more weeks and Sharpton will
stay until the convention. His candidacy is basically
extortion and he'll stay to extract favors from the party
and there's a good chance he'll sell his endorsement to Bush.

Anyway it's Dean and Kerry.

BEFORE south carolina, Arizona, Oklahoma, and New Mexico?

Edwards is going to be in it until Super Tuesday at least

Just wait and see !

Graham will want to wait for some southern primaries too.

ROTFLMFAO!

Graham, I think, will be the nominee of the party.

LOLOLOL

Graham doesn't have a snowball's chance in hell.

Edwards is the one who can beat *.

Edwards is running for a competitive re-election in the Senate and his presidential aspirations look hopeless. Edwards is way behind in NH and Iowa and is placed 4th (behind Lieberman, Gephardt, and Sharpton) on his own turf in South Carolina.

the Repugs attacked worked on him. I was an early supporter but as the field got big I picked Dean.

Joe had 13%

Gephardt had 12%

Sharpton had 8%

Edwards had 8%

It's not like this race is over in SC.

should be DK

...from Moseley-Braun.

Looks like a few people are voting for who they "want" to drop out of the primaries as opposed to who will likely be the "first" to drop out. Hmmmm.

If you happened to read GD yesterday and Friday.

And only vote for the Chimp EVER.

as a practical issue since she is listed-=---female and underfunded and so unlikely in this climate to pick up the needed support on all fronts.

Of the most "credible" national candidates at the moment, I suspect (and dearly hope) that Holy Joe Lieberman leaves the field of battle early.

Al, you to. Dennis, you're on life support but you might think about packing your bags too.

Carol Moseley-Braun is the best candidate the Democrats have

"Oh...byeeeee! see ya later!! hasta la vista, baby!" :nuke:

Surely, thou jests.

And thanks for the memories.

I suspect the Dem power brokers will get him on the ticket. Top or bottom, not quite sure yet.

NT

around the same time. I think that his supporters here are so excited about him they aren't seeing that he's simply not getting the necessary numbers and money. Lieberman is raising more money than was expected of him, and I think it will take a while for him to drop out, if at all. Though his early lead due to name recognition is slipping a bit, he's still doing well for a field of nine, polling-wise.

I think it's pretty obvious though, that the candidates who are polling single digits as of today, are going to be out by Super Tuesday. (That is, if they haven't gained momentum by now, chances are they aren't going to.)

Lieberman will get a bitter pill when he loses Iowa and New Hampshire, and then loses South Carolina the next week. Lieberman won't just lose, he'll come in fourth or worse. He'll be the first out.

Kucinich, Mosely-Braun, and Sharpton will stay on until it's more than obvious that they won't get the nomination, or even come close. They may stay "in the running" until the convention a la Alan Keyes in 2000.

Edwards, Graham, and Clark (if he ever gets IN the race, that is) will wait until at least South Carolina, as they'll all try to gain a geographical advantage. Whoever among the three wins (or gets the most votes if he doesn't win) will stay on until Super Tuesday, the other two will drop out.

Gephardt is really in it to win, even though I doubt he will. He may win Iowa, and will definately place high even if he doesn't. He'll drop out soon after Super Tuesday though, as I don't see him gaining enough momentum.

Kerry and Dean will stay on until Super Tuesday, and one of these two guys will probably be the nominee. After Super Tuesday, I expect one of the two to drop out almost immediately, and hopefully will endorse the other guy. After Super Tuesday we need Kerry-Dean (as well as the rest of the party) unity more than ANYTHING.

Didn't she already say she will decide around Labor Day whether to stay in the race? No other Dem has felt the need to bother doing that. If she already has reservations about being able to be in the race past Labor Day, then she lacks confidence, which contradicts her stump speeches that focus on her ambition to win.

Of course. :)

will drop out after Iowa. There isn't room for both of them in the race. Gephardt drops out if Dean wins Iowa. Kerry is gone if Dean wins N Hampshire.

These first states have too much power.