2. And polls of likely voters this far before the election are meaningless
It's great to see Kerry with a 6-point lead among RVs. I suspect their poll of likely voters over-represents Repukes, as it has in the past. I've seen numbers proving that.
so this is telling us turnout will be key. The higher the turnout the better it is for Kerry. The fundies will come out in droves for Bush* (who else can better bring about the end-times?) but there are millions of disaffected people who don't like what Bush is doing but might need an extra nudge to get out and actually vote on election day this time round.
7. Yeah, but his disapproval is 51% and his approval is 46%
His elect #'s are 48% vs. Kerry's 47%. That means some of the people in the 51% who disapprove will vote for him, though I guess the additional 2% could be coming from the murkey 3% who didn't know if they approved or dissaproved, but still.
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