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LANDSLIDE! latest state polls(adj): Kerry 355 EV; Bush 179

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-14-04 10:40 PM
Original message
LANDSLIDE! latest state polls(adj): Kerry 355 EV; Bush 179
Edited on Mon Jun-14-04 11:01 PM by TruthIsAll
Assuming Kerry gets 2/3 of the Nader and undecided votes and
Bush the remaining 1/3. This is the traditional historical
split for a challenger vs. an incumbent. This may even be
conservative.

	Kerry	Bush	Nader	AdjK	KerryEV
AL	35	54		43	0
AK	28	59	10	37	0
AZ	38	43	2	51	10
AR	43	51	2	47	0
CA	51	39	4	58	55
CO	44	49	4	49	0
CT	46	36	8	59	7
DE	55	42	3	57	3
DC	89	9	5	90	3
FL	50	48	1	51	27
GA	32	49	3	45	0
HA	56	37	6	61	4
ID	28	67	2	32	0
IL	52	39	1	58	21
IN	33	54	6	42	0
IA	49	48	1	51	7
KS	39	57		42	0
KY	39	52		45	0
LA	42	48		49	0
ME	54	35	3	62	4
MD	48	43		54	10
MA	54	30	5	65	12
MI	42	44	4	52	17
MN	51	44	2	55	10
MS	41	58	1	42	0
MO	37	48	5	48	0
MT	33	53	6	43	0
NE	33	62	4	37	0
NV	47	44	2	53	5
NH	46	46	2	52	4
NJ	46	43	5	54	15
NM	48	43	3	54	5
NY	57	34	4	63	31
NC	41	48	3	49	0
ND	33	61	3	37	0
OH	45	42	4	54	20
OK	34	53		43	0
OR	44	39	4	56	7
PA	47	46	6	52	21
RI	53	31		64	4
SC	39	49	3	47	0
SD	35	51	4	45	0
TN	47	49	1	50	11
TX	38	58	3	41	0
UT	22	67	3	30	0
VT	51	36	4	60	3
VA	45	47	3	51	13
WA	49	44	1	54	11
WV	47	41	 	55	5
WI	42	44	4	52	10
WY	28	68	2	31	0

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iconoclastic cat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-14-04 11:02 PM
Response to Original message
1. Source? Link?
Or just a very happy dream?
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-14-04 11:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. No dream.
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AndyTiedye Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Jun-15-04 12:17 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. They Have Given MI, VA, AZ, WI, TN, and NM to Bush* since then
Edited on Tue Jun-15-04 12:17 AM by AndyTiedye
and made NH too close to call,
dropping Kerry's total to only 285,
and once again requiring us to take Florida and Ohio to win.

Florida does not have free elections. We already know this from 2000.
The polls in Florida did not matter then and they do not matter now.

Ohio is only partly Diebold, but we aren't ahead by enough to win there
if the Diebold counties all break heavily for Bush*.

Maryland is at risk, due to the recent court decision awarding the
state's electoral votes to Diebold.
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