About the elections

We all are all fairly certain that Bush is going to self-implode and loose the election. We are all working very hard to make that happen.

However, honestly do you think that the democrats have a chance at taking the house and the senate as well? How are the elections for this turning out so far?

with a lot of luck, we'll retake both.

As for the Senate, there are 5 open Democratic seats, all in the south, but we are running strong candidates and I say we'll lose Georgia and maybe SC or Florida. Meanwhile, we have good to excellent chances in the three open GOP seats (particularly Illinois) and I think we'll take Alaska as well. My assessment (which is an amateur one) is that the Senate will probably swing between one seat towards the Republicans to two seats towards the Democrats.

As for the House, we have to net a gain of 11 seats, which is no small feat. However, we won two recent special elections in Republican states and took control of two new seats. However, I'm not nearly so excited about these wins as some here. Both of our winners, Herseth and Chandler, had just come out of losing statewide campaigns and hailed, IIRC, from well-known political families and thus had high name recognition already. I think they're good signs, but to me they hardly indicate that we're giong to win the whole House. Matters are complicated by the fact that redistricting in Texas will cost us seats, which probably cancels out our advantage in open seats (there are more Republicans retiring than Democrats).

A lot will ride on how Kerry fares as our standard-bearer and if he picks a VP that can help us defend those five (four, if you count Zell) Southern Senate seats and the downballot Congressional races.

Even if we don't win them, perhaps we can close the gap up a little bit and make it a little more even. :)