Will there be a Terror Attack this Election?

Well, to answer that question, we need the answer to the following three questions:

1.) Does BushCo want to invade Iran?
2.) What will the real polls look like in the first week of September?
3.) How much control does BushCo exert over the vote counting process?

Here are the eight combinations of possible answers.

1.) Iranian Invasion, Bush way ahead, Decisive Control:
---> Terror Attack
2.) Iranian Invasion, Bush way ahead, Little Control:
---> Terror Attack
3.) Iranian Invasion, Bush even or behind, Decisive Control:
---> Terror Attack
4.) Iranian Invasion, Bush even or behind, Little Control:
---> Terror Attack
5.) No Iranian Invasion, Bush way ahead, Decisive Control:
---> No Terror Attack
6.) No Iranian Invasion, Bush way ahead, Little Control:
---> No Terror Attack
7.) No Iranian Invasion, Bush even or behind, Decisive Control:
---> Terror Attack
8.) No Iranian Invasion, Bush even or behind, Little Control:
---> Toss a Coin

As I stated before, the main determining factor here is the Iranian invasion. If BushCo wants to invade Iran, they need a terror attack. Invading Iran will be so difficult and so costly in blood and treasure, that only a fairly massive terror attack could possibly unite the country behind such a venture.

Now, if an Iranian invasion isn’t in the cards, then the justification could only be the election. Now, if Bush jumps way out in front, I don’t think there will be an attack. However, if he’s even or behind, the next question is “do they control the voting machines?”. If they don’t it comes down to how confident Rove is that he can regain that 90% approval rating with an attack. As has been pointed out elsewhere, it could backfire. However, if they do control the vote counting, an attack, especially a ‘days before the election’ attack would provide the perfect smokescreen.

So, there’s my appraisal. Blast away.

a terror attack by AlQueda would PROVE, beyond a shadow of a doubt, that the Terror Masters WANT Bush to be re-elected.

Look for a terror attack if Kerry leads.

that I honestly don't think you can quantify them like this. The real issue is that I don't believe those currently in power will go quietly, least of all in a fair, free, and honest election.

They don't care about approval ratings. They know how bogus they are. Invade Iran, successful terror attack (thousands dead), unsuccessful attack, some sudden scandal about Kerry, the details don't really matter, and it's probably a complete waste of energy to try to anticipate what will happen.

Various trial balloons will be floated. It happened a few weeks ago with the bit about the possibility of delaying or cancelling the election. Okay, so the public didn't bite on that, so now what? They'll look over every possibility, they'll use the entire country as a focus group, and will not leave willingly.

There are many ways to steal the election, to stage a coup, to stay in power. Any of us can think of several, and we're not devoting all of our energies to this. They are.

I will not rest easy until Kerry (or some other Democrat, if something terrible happens before then)takes the oath of office at noon on January 20, 2005.