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Florida, Ohio and BBV - no smoking gun that would convince anyone who doesn't want to believe to begin with. I'm sorry, the evidence just isn't that strong. It might win you an award in a civil court but it wouldn't get you a conviction in a criminal court. Maybe after more discovery.
911 - if it is inconceivable than the proof must be extraordinary and incontrovertable. Circumstantial evidence doesn't cut it here. The best Argument the Dems could make is one of failure to heed intelligence, but even than, that message is lost in the "Bush ordered it" rant that follows and in the fact that the administration can point to what they were doing, all be it slowly, about the problem.
And just who has The Patriot Act unjustly caught? certianly not someone from middle America. Toss in the sunset provision of the legislation and the Republicans have political cover.
Anthrax - again, circumstantial at best as to who did what. There's political cover.
The war in Iraq - It's not the mess everyone told us it would be before we went, it's not the bed of roses Bush said it would be either. It's a wash. And keep in mind, most American's believe the news will tell the worst and not say anything about what is good.
Plame - um, the Plame issue is not an issue a regular voter is going to follow. There just isn't traction there.
Torture - it's war, what do you expect? The evidence given indicates it wasn't widespread to the general population of prisoners. damaging, but only a nick.
Market was heading south before Bush took office, so long as they can point to that they can also point to the tax cuts as making the crash less severe. whether you believe that or not isn't important, what is important is that was the message and it was bought. Again, political cover that you have to make the case from start to finish to cut through.
Taxes - most people think that tax cuts should, dollar wise, go more to the people who actually pay taxes. Since half the country doesn't pay any taxes, it makes the pool of citizens getting the tax cut kinda small to begin with. Doesn't matter how unfair it seems. It's a wash issue. Joe American knows it sounds wrong, but can't rationalize it as being wrong.
Deficit - most voters grew up with deficits. most voters understand that there is a difference between today's dollars and yesterday's dollars. And as a percentage of GDP it isn't that bad. That's not to say that there isn't a large block of voters who honestly believe deficits are bad, but theres a war on you know, and how could have Bush known the economy would tank this bad. Again, political excuses. And the samrt voters will notice that repaying debt with weaker dollars is a good thing.
The dollar - you're argument presumes that a weaker dollar is a bad thing. That is not a fact in evidence. One could reasonable argue that a weaker dollar makes American manufacturers more competitive, preventing more movement of jobs overseas. Among a host of other arguments in favor of allowing the slide of the dollar to continue.
Jobs - do you mean jobs or job quality? just saying jobs doesn't cut it. And in terms of jobs, the unemployment rate hasn't risen so much as to signal a problem that cannot be over come with politics. that's just the way it is. Make the case you want to make.
Clean Air - you made a case here? ever? in the last year?
Clean Water - is this that arsenic thing again? Setting federal standards lower than what is existent in local ground water for much of the country. rural America largely viewed that as another unfunded federal mandate - spun, of course, to blame Clinton.
Kyoto - hmmmm, reasonable suspicion of the science of global warming and a cost in excess of 10 trillion dollars. If the weather man can't predict the weather next week how on earth can anyone believe a weatherman who says he can predict the weather 100 years out? And while you're at it, explain why Mars is warming.
Flue Vaccine - again, simple to spin, with the CDC buying half of the vaccine supply at a no profit rate it doesn't take much, a single lawsuit would do it, to eat up all the profits. If it was worth doing from a business prospective there wouldn't have been a shortage, but it isn't worth doing. Again, easily spun as a wash or a minor negative. Or did you not notice all the stories about how the flu vaccine is only about 60% effective to begin with....and may not even cover this years flu anyway.
It's not obvious, not to the average voter. Make the case from start to finish. You know the story, you know the impact but the average voter doesn't. Either you make the case or no one does and if no one will it certainly is not obvious. Make the case, from start to finish, make the case by telling what the impact is to the voters life, make the case by presenting the better alternative.
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