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Edited on Sat Mar-05-05 02:00 AM by Jim Lane
Bush hasn't endorsed a specific plan for privatization, but based on what we've heard so far, you could reasonably expect something like this:
At the time of your retirement, you'll become entitled to a guaranteed benefit, which will be less than what you'd be entitled to under current law. It will be less even if you've declined the private account. If you've chosen a private account, the guaranteed benefit will be further reduced. The government will then compare your guaranteed benefit with the poverty line. If your guaranteed benefit doesn't keep you out of poverty, then whatever's accumulated in the private account will be applied to that purpose. The specific mechanism will be the purchase of an annuity. For example, if your guaranteed benefit is $200 per month less than the poverty line, then money will be taken from the private account to purchase an annuity that will pay you $200 per month for the rest of your life. (The guaranteed benefit is indexed to inflation, so I assume they'd have to use annuities that were also so indexed.)
Bush loves to talk about how the money in the private account is "yours", you can pass it on to your children, etc. His argument would apply only to whatever's left in the private account after the mandatory annuity purchase. For many people, that would be little or nothing.
Under Bush's plan, could a beneficiary, at the time of retirement, take out in cash whatever's left in the private account, blow it all in one wild week-long spree of extravagance, and then spend the rest of his or her days just at the poverty line? I'm not sure. The price for the dissolute week would be a reduction in the retiree's monthly benefit (as compared with someone who had the same earnings history but who never chose to establish a private account). I don't know whether Bush's plan would include any additional restraints on spendthrift beneficiaries, beyond the provision for mandatory annuities.
On edit: I overlooked your question about spendthrift conduct while the beneficiary is still working. As far as I know, there's no possibility of that under any plan currently being discussed. As under the present system, the money paid in as Social Security taxes would be completely unavailable to the worker during the period preceding his or her retirement.
Of course, your concern about people being effectively compelled to continue working longer than they wanted to is a valid one. As I explained above, everyone contemplating retirement at, say, 65 will find their guaranteed benefits to be less under the Bush plan than under current law. Some of those people will presumably conclude that the available benefit isn't good enough. Therefore, they will reluctantly keep working a while longer.
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