...the Atomic Doomsday Clock was last set in 2002 and given that it was moved closer to midnight under George Bush's watch, my latest estimate is:
May 2005| One minute to midnight
The United States and the Russia are unable to account for significant amounts of missing enriched plutonium and depleted uranium which could be in the hands of terrorists and terrorist supporting states of North Korea and Iran have developed their own enrichment processes.
<snip>
Mar/Apr 2002| Seven minutes to midnight
Little progress is made on global nuclear disarmament. The United States rejects a series of arms control treaties and announces it will withdraw from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty. Terrorists seek to acquire and use nuclear and biological weapons.
Sep/Oct 1998| Nine minutes to midnight
India and Pakistan "go public" with nuclear tests. The United States and Russia cannot agree on further deep reductions in their nuclear stockpiles.
Jan/Feb 1996| Fourteen minutes to midnight
Further arms reductions stall while global military spending continues at Cold War levels. Risks of nuclear "leakage" from poorly guarded former Soviet facilities increase.
Dec 1991| Seventeen minutes to midnight
The United States and the Soviet Union sign the long-stalled Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) and announce further unilateral cuts in tactical and strategic nuclear weapons.
Apr 1990| Ten minutes to midnight
The clock, redesigned in 1989, reflects democratic movements in Eastern Europe that shatter the myth of monolithic communism; the Cold War ends.
Jan/Feb 1988| Six minutes to midnight
The United States and the Soviet Union sign a treaty to eliminate intermediate-range nuclear forces; superpower relations improve; more nations actively oppose nuclear weapons.
Jan 1984| Three minutes to midnight
The arms race accelerates. "Arms control negotiations have been reduced to a species of propaganda. . . . The blunt simplicities of force threaten to displace any other form of discourse between the superpowers."
Jan 1981| Four minutes to midnight
Both superpowers develop more weapons for fighting a nuclear war. Terrorist actions, repression of human rights, and conflicts in Afghanistan, Poland, and South Africa add to world tension.
Jan 1980| Seven minutes to midnight
The deadlock in U.S.-Soviet arms talks continues; nationalistic wars and terrorist actions increase; the gulf between rich and poor nations grows wider.
Sep 1974| Nine minutes to midnight
SALT talks reach an impasse; India develops a nuclear weapon. "We find policymakers on both sides increasingly ensnared, frustrated, and neutralized by domestic forces having a vested interest in the amassing of strategic forces."
Jun 1972| Twelve minutes to midnight
The United States and the Soviet Union sign the first Strategic Arms Limitation Treaty (SALT I) and the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty; progress toward SALT II is anticipated.
Apr 1969| Ten minutes to midnight
The U.S. Senate ratifies the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty.
Jan 1968| Seven minutes to midnight
France and China acquire nuclear weapons; wars rage in the Middle East, the Indian subcontinent, and Vietnam; world military spending increases while development funds shrink.
Oct 1963| Twelve minutes to midnight
The U.S. and Soviet signing of the Partial Test Ban Treaty "provides the first tangible confirmation of what has been the Bulletin's conviction in recent years--that a new cohesive force has entered the interplay of forces shaping the fate of mankind."
Jan 1960| Seven minutes to midnight
The clock moves in response to the growing public understanding that nuclear weapons made war between the major powers irrational. International scientific cooperation and efforts to aid poor nations are cited.
Sep 1953| Two minutes to midnight
The United States and the Soviet Union test thermonuclear devices within nine months of one another.
Oct 1949| Three minutes to midnight
The Soviet Union explodes its first atomic bomb.
Jun 1947| Seven minutes to midnight
The clock first appears on the Bulletin cover as a symbol of nuclear danger.
<more>
<link>
http://www.thebulletin.org/doomsday_clock/timeline.htm#2002