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REALIZE - they can bring back the Nuclear option at ANY TIME

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CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:31 PM
Original message
REALIZE - they can bring back the Nuclear option at ANY TIME
We gave them essentially 5 judges for free.

Some people think this compromise is a setback for the Repugs.

That's bullshit. Using the nuclear option carried risks.

1. Risk that the public would rightly see it as a fascist abuse of power and rightly condemn the repubs at the ballot box.

2. that the dems would shut down the senate in protest

3. that the option would be tried, but FAIL (the objection to Cheney's unilateral rewrite of the rules would be upheld by majority vote), subjecting the repugs to the political risk of trying it, without the reward.


With the deal, they got 5 of their judges, without needing to use the nuclear option. they only needed to THREATEN to use it. With the deal, they retained the right to invoke it if the Democrats filibustered again (except for extraordinary circumstances, which will never be acknowledged by the republicans).

Its not like the nuclear option is gone for good, only delayed until the next time Democrats want to filibuster.

the repugs will claim democrats are breaking the agreement, and will have POLITICAL COVER to bring back the nuclear option.

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aquart Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
1. Yup.
And they'll threaten again, and Lieberman will suck their toes again.

McCain still anybody's hero?
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:35 PM
Response to Original message
2. I know, I know...
Why do you think I'm so fucking pissed at Joe Lieberman and his DLC cronies?

It's not you. Please understand. But James Dobson's bitching aside, we took a potentially major loss tonight. And the American people will suffer for it.
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CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:37 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. Dobson is bitching
because they expect aboslute satisfaction immediately.

If I were a repug, I'd be jumping for joy now.
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dbonds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:36 PM
Response to Original message
3. No
We gave them a vote on 3 judges, 2 are out. It is not clear the 3 will all be confirmed. And the republicans agreed not to support the nuke option if it comes up again unless dems filibuster someone not considerred extreme. Extreme is defined by an agreement of 40 people it is extreme.
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derby378 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:40 PM
Response to Reply #3
6. In other words, Repugs still have the nuke option
Sword of Damocles. Zyklon-B pellets ready to pour. It's all the same. The Repugs will bring the nuclear option down on the Senate any time they feel like it.

Remember Darth Vader? "I'm altering the bargain. Pray I don't alter it further."
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BattyDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:43 PM
Response to Reply #3
8. "Extreme is defined by an agreement of 40 people it is extreme."
There are only 44 Dems ... and a few of them are DINOs. No Repugs will side with the Dems. So ... what are the chances of getting 40 people to agree on what is extreme? :grr:

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FreedomAngel82 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #8
10. If I was
a democrat in the Senate now I'd pack up and go home.
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CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:48 PM
Response to Reply #3
11. there is NO provision whatsoever
providing for a definition of extreme circumstances.


Do you REALLY think the Republicans would agree to that?

they need a vauge definition to hold the N.O. over our heads later.



(I apologize for the link... I couldn't find a better one...)
http://thorley-winston.redstate.org/story/2005/5/23/201616/359
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Internut Donating Member (436 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #3
18. I don't think so -
Edited on Tue May-24-05 12:35 AM by Internut
"extreme" for the purposes of this compromise is defined by a unanimous agreement of the 14 senators in that "moderates" group. If even just a couple of those senators do not agree that the candidate is "extreme", the whole deal is off.
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Zen Democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:37 PM
Response to Original message
5. Well they agreed to NO rules changes in this Congress.
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CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:49 PM
Response to Reply #5
12. yes but,
what will happen is if we filibuster, they will claim we are breaking the agreement (because "extraordinary circumstances" is very vague), and then claim the right to reneg on their end of the bargain. thus, they will have political cover to introduce the N.O.
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ultraist Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:41 PM
Response to Original message
7. yep, see DeWine's comments on this thread:
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FreedomAngel82 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-23-05 10:43 PM
Response to Original message
9. You nailed it
Watch them do this again before this year is over.
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dbonds Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:07 AM
Response to Reply #9
13. So basically you are saying you can't trust the deal.

I have my doubts too. But think of the alternative. It would have happenned tomorrow. All 5 nominees would have went through. And the dems would have had to shut down the senate. It might feel good for you to think of the senate being shut down and no bush agenda getting through, but that means none of the everyday stuff that actually needs to get done and it would have been a Rove wet dream. No dem would ever get elected again the way it would have been spun. I want to slam dunk these thugs as much as anyone, but we didn't have the position to do it this time. We are now and will be at least till 2006 playing defense. This deal is the first bit of politics that we have seen in a long time, it is a comprimise. And after all the attacks and one side against the other it is no wonder that most don't trust the deal and want to fight to knock them out. But lets not give up hope that there are at least a few good republicans left and this is an deal made with good intentions. They didn't cut this cause we could shut the senate down, they cut this because the people didn't want the rules changed.
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spindoctor Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:12 AM
Response to Original message
14. No they can't. That is why seven Republicans signed the treaty.
Seven is not just a nice biblical number, it is also the exact number of votes that we are short from stopping the nuclear option.

I don't know how legally binding this supposed agreement is, but I do believe that it is the more trustworthy seniors in the Senate who concocted this.

In your face, Frist!
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merh Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:16 AM
Response to Original message
15. You do realize that we can shut down congress when they
bring back the nuclear option, just like folks wanted the dems to do today.

We saved the filibuster to fight another day. Gosh, don't you folks know anything about small victories and appreciated what you have?

Half Full, not Half Empty! :woohoo:

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shadowknows69 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:30 AM
Response to Original message
16. but at least now more people know what they're up to
on both sides.
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Guaranteed Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:35 AM
Response to Original message
17. NO NO NO
Why the HELL are you telling them they CAN??????????????????
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CTLawGuy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 05:46 PM
Response to Reply #17
20. they don't need me to fucking tell them
get a hold of yourself.

they will just do it the next time we filibuster.

I'm sorry you are in denial about this deal.
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murielkane Donating Member (59 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue May-24-05 12:48 AM
Response to Original message
19. The struggle is really about having the moral high ground
The Republicans have been trying very hard to portray the nuclear option as the right thing to do. As restoring proper constitutional procedures. As being the fair way to handle things.

This deal -- especially if there is the widespread approval of it -- makes it very clear that the existing traditions of the Senate are where the moral center lies. If the Republicans try to pull the nuclear option out of their pocket at some later point, it will be obvious that it is just a power move.

That may not seem important to those of us who realize that's what it was all along. But in the court of public opinion, it could be absolutely crucial.
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