Hurricane Rita Wobbles More North - Democratic Underground

ECH1969

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:21 PM
Original message

Hurricane Rita Wobbles More North

Hurricane Rita has made a slight wobble which if the movement continued would push the major storm into central Gulf more east than the anticipated Texas border. The Hurricane is currently almost due South of Pensacola Florida, moving away from the Florida mainland.

http://www.bayoubuzz.com/articles.aspx?aid=5065
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What does this mean?

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SteppingRazor

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:23 PM
Response to Original message

1. Probably very little...

These wobbling movements are common in hurricanes. It may wobble a little north, but then it'll wobble a little west. Averaged out over time, it will go in the general direction it's predicted.

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:24 PM
Response to Reply #1

3. Good answer--some people try to start stampedes by hysterically

pointing to wobbles, as another thread is doing. That's not a good thing--there's already enough to be scared of right now.

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jedicord

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:38 PM
Response to Reply #3

12. "There's enough to be scared of right now."

Thanks for that. I got so worked up from DU doomers this morning I nearly called my doctor to get me some anti-anxiety medicine.

Those of us in the path of the storm need to stay sane and make good choices, not spiral into a panic and screw up.

I'm just south of Conroe, my family from the coast is on their way, and it still isn't decided whether or not we should move further north. It will take forever for them to get here (45N is a parking lot), can't get them on their cell phone, and it's real easy to go stir crazy.

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DoYouEverWonder

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:26 PM
Response to Reply #1

5. There are some pretty big highs

coming down that will keep the storm on track.

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Brotherjohn

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:31 PM
Response to Reply #1

8. These wobbles are especially common with very strong hurricanes. nt

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Bucky

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:23 PM
Response to Original message

2. Straight at New Orleans. If this pans out, God's pissed about something.

Edited on Wed Sep-21-05 04:24 PM by Bucky

(on edit) Agree with poster above. This may mean nothing. But then again, it may mean something.

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longship

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:25 PM
Response to Reply #2

4. I am not pissed. I just don't interfere.

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AValdoux

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:26 PM
Response to Original message

6. Good website showing previous tracks

Also show winds speeds after landfall. This show just how crazy hurricanes are to predict. Check out Jeanne. I posted this on another thread earlier.

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/7845030/

AValdoux

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trof

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:30 PM
Response to Reply #6

7. Good? FANTASTIC! Thanks.

And welcome to DU.
:hi:

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SteppingRazor

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:33 PM
Response to Reply #6

9. Yeah, Jeanne sucked...

I had to put out and take back in my backyard furniture, like three times for one storm!

But generally speaking, hurricanes tend to follow a reasonably straight, slightly sloping line, from the Atlantic near the equator, just north of South America, and then northward into the American South or Mexico. You can almost follow it like clockwork.

Hurricanes like Jeanne and Ophelia are definitely the exceptions to the rule.

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JTsc

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:34 PM
Response to Original message

10. There are at least two models

Edited on Wed Sep-21-05 04:35 PM by JTsc

that have the storm hitting the western part of Louisiana. A third computer model shows it hitting slightly west of N.O. (That's a local model used by a TV station here...which has called every landfall correctly in the two years since its inception.)

It's still way early to tell, and it will probably not be too far off the current official NHC track prediction.

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HereSince1628

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:36 PM
Response to Original message

11. Lots of different model tracks at wunderground.com

click on hurricanes and follow the menu.

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whistle

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Wed Sep-21-05 04:38 PM
Response to Original message

13. Meaning what exactly.....that Rita is being manipulated and could slam

...into any target along the Gulf coast? I will believe that only if Rita takes a right turn and head north now, just like Katrina did.

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