New Harris Poll: Lieberman, Clark, Dean, Kerry

The latest Harris Poll conducted among a sample of 596 Democrats
and independents finds that Senator Joe Lieberman and General Wesley Clark have a small lead over Governor Howard Dean, Senator John Kerry and Senator Richard Gephardt. However, at this stage nobody has started to move away from the pack.

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/stories.pl?ACCT=SVBIZINK2.story&STORY=/www/story/10-31-2003/0002048840&EDATE=FRI+Oct+31+2003,+01:24+PM

Never heard of it. The fact that Lieberman is the leader makes me instantly suspicious.

since day 1. He's the only one with name recognition (other than Gore and Hillary). Until our guys get name recognition - it will continue to be this way.

..it just CAN'T be!

Every single other poll I've seen (including even Fox polls) are totally contradictory to this one. At least all the other polls are in accordance with each other regarding general trends.

It just doesn't add up for me.

Every single other poll I've seen (including even Fox polls) are totally contradictory to this one

Is it possible that "every single other poll" you've seen were polls from either New Hampshire or Iowa? Dean is doing better there than he is nationally.

...I think what bugged me was that Lieberman was always around third place(if I remember correctly). For him to jump so suddenly when his campaign hasn't been getting much traction nationally in terms of media exposure, etc. is puzzling.

Lieberman has been at or near the top of most national polls for the simple reason that he has the most name recognition.

...then the only conclusion is that I am mixing polls such as Iowa and NH with national ones.

But I'm having a hard time recalling polls w/ Joe conistently in first.

...I think I ( or anyone for that matter) have good reason to question the validity of this poll.

...I apologize if I came off sounding condescending but it doesn't surprise me that a Dean supporter would question a poll that doesn't have Dean in the lead.

The reason why I was surprised was not because Dean was not in the lead, but rather because Lieberman was. That is what shocked me.

Interestingly enough, I'm thinking about switching my support from Dean to either Kerry or Clark. But for the moment, I think he is still above those two.

...but since you're new, I'll agree it was a bad assumption on my part.

I'm for Clark - but I still hear a little voice in the back of my mind whispering "Kerry Kerry..."

to throw in another siren's song

I know he started out way at the top, but as time progressed each poll I have seen of registered democrats nationally has shown him slipping far down the line.

Do you have a link to a recent poll? I just don't believe this.

And is still top 3 or 4 in the most recent polls. That one poll would still have him leading is no surprise, especially given that the Harris poll admits that Lieberman is long on name recognition.

http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm

That Quinnipiac poll with the Hillary question is interesting.

..I could point out that she would hurt Dean's chances the most but her numbers are so overwhelming to everyone that it really wouldn't matter.

You could, but you'd be contradicting the source you cited which shows she actually hurts Clark the most.

We were discussing the Quinnipiac University Poll, which has Clark ahead with Dean in second place. Unless Clinton enters, then Clark drops to second and Dean drops to #5.

So, how did my statement contradict the source I cited, which was http://www.pollingreport.com/wh04dem.htm (see post #16)?

I don't really expect you to answer.

That would certainly be news...

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

Ha hahahah - is this a joke?

It is odd that Lieberman is out front; it must be purely name recognition.

They do a lot of public opinion polling - pretty well respected.

Not so much into political polling. The significance of this poll is that it shows - most Americans aren't paying attention yet.

But its mostly a consumer polling company.

Harris Polls are just as accurate or inaccurate as any poll out there.

I don't pick and choose which polls I believe (with the possible exception of FOX) based on whether I like the info they provide.

All the national polls have been saying that same thing for MONTHS. Where have you all been?

No-one else has any name recognition.

for example, their latest Bush job rating is at 59%, far higher than any of the other polls.

The Latest Quinnipac Poll shows Clark in the lead by 5 points (17%) over Dean, Lieberman and Gephardt.

There are so many candidates. Most people don't worry about a primary until they're getting ready to vote.

Joe Lieberman 81% 87%
Al Sharpton 70% 74%
Richard Gephardt 68% 72%
John Kerry 63% 68%
Howard Dean 58% 62%
Wesley Clark 53% 58%
John Edwards 50% 53%
Carol Moseley-Braun 44% 49%
Dennis Kucinich 30% 31%

This should give you a good indication of how the preference vote would go.

Joe Lieberman 13% 14%
Wesley Clark 12% 13%
Howard Dean 11% 10%
John Kerry 10% 10%
Richard Gephardt 8% 10%
Carol Moseley-Braun 5% 5%
Al Sharpton 5% 3%
John Edwards 4% 2%
Dennis Kucinich 3% 3%
Not sure 26% 27%


For a national poll this is not bad at all the top 3.

Leave Emporer Palpatine off.

It's 'Congressman' Gephart. :)

With a margin of error of 4%, Lieberman, Clark, Dean and Kerry are in a statistical tie for the lead.

Another oddity: How can 13% of those who claim to have voted in 2000 have never heard of Joe Lieberman?

How can 13% of those who claim to have voted in 2000 have never heard of Joe Lieberman?

Because they voted for Al Gore. Am I saying people might have forgotten or never got a grasp on who Gore's VP-to-be was? yep!

My wife couldn't remember who ran against Bush Sr. in '88 - even though she voted for him!