Will we be able to win the gubernatorial race in Louisana?

_Jumper_

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:25 PM
Original message

Will we be able to win the gubernatorial race in Louisana?

The polls all show a dead heat. Does anyone have any additional insight into this? I've read that turnout will be low, which will hurt us.:(

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Jacobin

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:28 PM
Response to Original message

1. The polls have it in a dead heat.

I live in Louisiana.

Not much fire or phone calls or media hype that I've seen locally.

I don't think the African American vote has been energized. The black Dem (nominally) mayor of New Orleans endorsed Jindal. :-(

What is interesting is that there has been NO effort to get Smirky or BunkerBoy here to speak for Jindal or to do those phone recorded messages. They tried that to unseat Mary Landrieu and it blew up in their faces.

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_Jumper_

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:30 PM
Response to Reply #1

2. Race or gender

Which will be a bigger factor for the overall conservative voters of Louisana?

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MojoKrunch

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:50 PM
Response to Reply #2

6. Gender.

They are forgiving Jindal his race because he graduated from LSU, bottomed under Foster and converted to Evangelical Catholicism.

Heck, brown eyes, brown hair and swarthy skin is the norm in SE La.

Unless the black vote turns out in a big way for Blanco, its a goner.

Mojo

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_Jumper_

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:53 PM
Response to Reply #6

7. Really?

Are people really olive-skinned with brown eyes and dark hair in SE La?

Not only is he a minority but he "looks Arab" in the eyes of the average Joe. It is surprising that isn't a factor in the race.

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Jacobin

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Wed Nov-12-03 08:11 PM
Response to Reply #7

10. No. There is no race issue with Jindal that I've heard

As long as people know he's a Bush Clone (and they do), they march in lock step (the conservative voting bloc anyway)

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1songbird

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:56 PM
Response to Reply #6

8. My father-in-law in

Alexandria believes that Jindal is going to win as well.

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Jacobin

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Wed Nov-12-03 08:10 PM
Response to Reply #2

9. Race, IMHO

Jindal is an Eastern Indian Bush Clone and Blanco is a 63 year old former lieutenant governor who is perceived as basically ineffectual.

Louisiana white women will vote for Jindal by and large. Dems will vote for whoever isn't a republican and African Americans who do vote will by and large vote for Blanco. They know Jindal is a Bush stalking horse.

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Hippo_Tron

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:35 PM
Response to Reply #1

4. Smirky = Suzzie Terrell? n/t

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Jacobin

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Wed Nov-12-03 08:13 PM
Response to Reply #4

11. Yep. She ran on how much she worships Smirky and Co

Didn't work.

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Hippo_Tron

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:34 PM
Response to Original message

3. Turnout will be low unfortuntately :(

I would've much rather had Randy Ewing win the primary than Blanco but I'd rather her than Jindal. Jindal seems like one of the more decent Republicans until he opens his mouth and starts talking about family values.

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bobbieinok

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Wed Nov-12-03 07:39 PM
Response to Original message

5. Repubs are paying students from Oral Roberts University

in Tulsa OK to go to LA and get out the vote for the party.

They pay for transportation, food, and lodging and about $30 in cash.

Students get credit for a govt class and administrative excuses for class absences.

In 2002, the WH asked ORU to send students to CO twice, once to publicize repub candidates and on election day to get out the vote.

Some faculty raised the question of possible legal problems in 2002, but the admin claimed that if the democratic party had asked for help, it would have been given. But of course no democrats would even think of asking ORU help.

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Ferretherder

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Wed Nov-12-03 08:38 PM
Response to Original message

12. Speaking as a Louisianian,...

...I think, personally, that there is just TOO much racial bigotry ingrained in the 'good-ole-boy' class down here, and THAT may lead a lot of the Bubbas to either abstain from voting in this election or hold their noses and vote fer thet there hussy tryin' ta horn-in on tha man's world o'polatics! Ok, they don't exactly talk like country bumpkins down here, but they don't always actually THINK much of the time, either.....so they might as well just go ahead and talk the talk.

I think it will be close, though.

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