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Edited on Fri Nov-21-03 07:52 AM by CMT
but it probably would have gone to the house to select the president and they would have selected LBJ becuz the house was democratic. Johnson would have probably carried Kentucky and Tennessee two of the better HHH states in the south. Also, Missouri probably would have gone his way especially since HHH lost it by only a few thousand votes. I think Johnson would might have also carried New Jersey which HHH also narrowly lost. An incumbent president has power to shape events and had LBJ run I think he would have used those powers to the hilt. The real reason LBJ didn't run in '68 (and it was a very tough decision for him up to the end) was not so much the war--but his health. He knew he was slowing down.
He also would have received the Democratic nomination. He had most of the delegates already corralled. Remember in '68 there were few primaries and most delegates were selected at state conventions which the party regulars controlled. He also had George Meany and the AFL-CIO solidly behind him which also had control of many delegates in states like Pennsylvania, Michigan, Ohio, and New Jersey. Furthermore the South was solid behind the president, obviously not becuz of his civil rights policies but on the war. John Connally ran his southern operation. With a solid south, Labor, and the party regulars behind him--Johnson would have had no problem receiving the nomination.
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