Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

The new "bush surging" poll - some unreported red flags?

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (Through 2005) Donate to DU
 
Skip Intro Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 11:18 PM
Original message
The new "bush surging" poll - some unreported red flags?
Edited on Tue Dec-02-03 11:28 PM by nu_duer
Apologies if a dupe...

I just read thru the whole poll, and it smells to me.

See the whole poll. Its in pdf, and I can't seem to cut and paste, but you can see it here:
http://www.appcpenn.org/naes/2003_03_Bush-surge-after-thanksgiving_pr.pdf

Several things stand out.

Adam Clymer is the contact, and his cell phone number is right there.

- isn't he the one bush/cheney dubbed a "bigtime ahole" - ?

The sampling size was small - 847, and they look to glean a whole lot from this "poll" including a breakdown of race, age gender, etc.

And in the methodolgy box, you'll see that it simply states, as if in passing, that not all questions were asked of all polled. Alrighty then. Is that normal? How many were not asked what? And what is the demographic breakdown of those who were asked only certain questions?

There's another interesting box near the end that shows bush's supposed improvement, on a scale from one to ten. Improvement in these areas is miniscule, and a further disclaimer states that respondents expressing a "unsure" or the like response were ommitted from this report on results. Wouldn't that skew results? Wouldn't that at the very least give a misleading snapshot of America's political mood?

edited for a certain effect
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
Silverhair Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 11:28 PM
Response to Original message
1. I am suspicious of this poll too.
And anybody that is familiar with my posts knows that I have no use for the tinfoil hat crowd. But that sample size does look a bit small for a 3% margin of error. I am waiting to see the next major poll. However, polls at this time in the cycle don't really mean that much for the POTUS election.

Now for the Democratic primaries they mean a lot because we are only weeks away from the first primary.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Randi_Listener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 11:30 PM
Response to Original message
2. A-B-P
Another Bullshit Poll
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Ilsa Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Dec-02-03 11:33 PM
Response to Original message
3. ITA. You are a genius in your analysis of this
bogus pr poll, probably push-polling. Smells to me like they are having to create a rosy scenario for Georgie Boy and to mislead the indifferent populace into total surrender.

But that's just my amateur opinion.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Thu May 02nd 2024, 09:02 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (Through 2005) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC