Dean's success may hurt SimmonsOn a national level, GOP officials are delighted with the prospects of a Dean/Bush match-up in 2004. Privately, GOP campaign officials describe the governor as the "dream opponent."
It's doubtful, however, the National Republican Congressional Committee -- the GOP organization that coordinates House races -- is looking at a Dean/Bush match-up in the same light, and especially in some of the top 10 to 20 key battleground congressional districts like eastern Connecticut's 2nd District.
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And that is where the Dean factor comes in.
Dean's presidential candidacy is grounded in his opposition to the war in Iraq, a position that Simmons supported. As Dean looks to broaden his scope of campaign issues, he is increasingly taking positions that are also in direct conflict with positions Simmons has taken, such as the recently adopted prescription drug benefit, the energy bill and others.
Dean's ability to energize the Democratic Party, rally those who have never actively participated in political organizations in the past and appeal to those outside the party, are factors that could result in Simmons defending his positions rather than touting his accomplishments in next year's congressional race.
The Democratic establishment may have its reservations regarding Dean's ability to defeat President Bush. However, in some key areas around the country, including eastern Connecticut, they may very well come to appreciate what he could do on a local level, too.
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