Is 2004, 1992 again? - Democratic Underground

coloradodem2005

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Sun Dec-14-03 04:32 AM
Original message

Is 2004, 1992 again?

There are some interesting parallels between 2003 and 1991. War in Iraq, a popular president named George Bush, and a bad economy, democratic candidates that did not poll very well against Bush.

There are significant differences now, but I see parallels definitely.

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JCMach1

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Sun Dec-14-03 04:34 AM
Response to Original message

1. 1968 would be a closer comparison...

There is (thus far) no Perot.

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tritsofme

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Sun Dec-14-03 04:44 AM
Response to Reply #1

3. Um '68= Wallace factor

He won 13 percent of the vote and carried five Southern states.

Also there was no incumbant.

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wuushew

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Sun Dec-14-03 04:41 AM
Response to Original message

2. or 1972

not that I believe in that Mcgovern theory crap. It would be a first term president running for relection after the conclusion of a war.

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tritsofme

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Sun Dec-14-03 04:47 AM
Response to Reply #2

4. In 1972 we were pulling out of Vietnam,

but it was far from concluded.

I think the only election to compare 2004 with is 2000. It will be very close and it reflects a nation that is more polarized than any point in the last 100 years.

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SahaleArm

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Sun Dec-14-03 05:17 AM
Response to Reply #4

5. Regardless 2000 didn't have the 9/11 factor.

That's still an issue along with disenfranchised voters.

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tedoll78

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Sun Dec-14-03 05:26 AM
Response to Reply #4

6. Yup.

The more polls I see state-by-state, the more I am convinced that the Gore states are falling back into the blue column, and the Bush states are turning from the deep post-9/11 red back to the red-with-a-purple-tinge that they were in 2000. No matter whom we nominate, it'll be close.

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