Two articles today, I believe, are worthy of attenton amid the discussions about the capture of Saddam. They deal with major changes in American life -- one predicts the decline of the two-party system as we have known it, and the other focuses on the changing nature of what it means to "have a job" in our country.
The headline identifying the first article on the Washington Post homepage is: "The Decline of the Two Party System?" A few paragraphs are not sufficient to convey the writer's theory of the possible emergence of a new American political system, with Howard Dean as the forerunner:
Q: What will happen when a national political machine can fit on a laptop?
A: See below
By Everett Ehrlich
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A58554-2003Dec12.htmlTo an economist, the "trick" of the Internet is that it drives the cost of information down to virtually zero. So according to(economist Ronald) Coase's theory, smaller information-gathering costs mean smaller organizations. And that's why the Internet has made it easier for small folks, whether small firms or dark-horse candidates such as Howard Dean, to take on the big ones.
For all Dean's talk about wanting to represent the truly "Democratic wing of the Democratic Party," the paradox is that he is essentially a third-party candidate using modern technology to achieve a takeover of the Democratic Party. Other candidates -- John Kerry, John Edwards, Wesley Clark -- are competing to take control of the party's fundraising, organizational and media operations. But Dean is not interested in taking control of those depreciating assets. He is creating his own party, his own lists, his own money, his own organization. What he wants are the Democratic brand name and legacy, the party's last remaining assets of value, as part of his marketing strategy. Perhaps that's why former vice president Al Gore's endorsement of Dean last week felt so strange -- less like the traditional benediction of a fellow member of the party "club" than a senior executive welcoming the successful leveraged buyout specialist. And if Dean can do it this time around, so can others in future campaigns.
The second article, also from the Washington Post, addresses the economy, but more importantly, what "having a job" now really means to many Americans:
Main Street : Stories of the American Economy
At Recovery's Dawn
Behind the Numbers and the Euphemisms Lie Some Messy Realities
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A62464-2003Dec13.htmlMore people are working part time than ever: Last month, for the first time, the number exceeded 25 million.
More are classified as "involuntary" part-time, meaning they would rather be working full time: 4.9 million in November, an increase of 600,000 from a year ago and 1.6 million since the recession began in March 2001.
More are working for less pay than they have worked for in the past -- the sectors of the economy adding jobs pay an average of $14.65 an hour, while those discarding jobs pay $16.92, according to an analysis by the Economic Policy Institute, a Washington research center.
In addition, more people are cobbling together a working life of two or three part-time jobs to keep up with bills. More jobs come without benefits, the chance for mobility and the security of long-term stability. Wages for most workers are not keeping up with inflation. The number of manufacturing jobs has declined 40 months in a row. The average time spent looking for work is now more than 20 weeks. And many people remain not working at all. Even with the addition of those 328,000 jobs, the total number of jobs is still 2.35 million lower than before the recession.