Pew Poll 43-38 Bush v. Dem interesting Demographic on subgroups

The new Pew Institute Poll out today has some encouraging news for Dems. In a match-up of Bush vs. a generic Democrat Bush receives only 43% nad the Democrat 38%--only a five point margin and for an incumbent president to be polling only 43% is certainly bad news. In the previous Pew Poll in April Bush had a 48/34 percent re-elect--encouraging then because it was at the height of his war blitz.

Here are some demographics:

Men continue to be a problem. In April men favored Bush by 48-35, in the most recent poll he actually does better among men--49/32. Not good news.

However women favor a Dem over Bush by 44-37 percent (in April women favored a Bush re-election by 48-34). Women over 50 give Dems a solid 10-point lead--45-35 percent.

Young voters are now the most Democratic. 18-29 year old voters favor a Dem over Bush by 48/37 percent. Those 30-49 years old favor Bush 46-34 percent. 50-64 year olds favor Bush narrowly by 43-40 (this is a major turnaround for Dems, in April this age group favored a Bush re-election by 54-27 percent). Those 65 and over are split 39-38 for the Democrat. So Dems do best among the very youngest voters and the very oldest.

Bush continues a solid hold on his Republican party (really what is keeping him as strong as he is)with GOP voters favoring Bush by 88-4 percent. Democrats favor the Democratic Nominee by 78-9. Independents are split favoring Bush 34-33 percent (down from 42-33 in April).

Conservatives favor Bush by 66-22. Moderates favor the Democratic nominee by 40-35. Liberals favor the Democrats 73-10. How can you call yourself a liberal and vote for Bush???

White voters favor Bush 48-33 percent (down from 55-28 in April). Nonwhite voters favor the Democrats by 65-17.

http://people-press.org/reports/display.php3?ReportID=190

Be a good frightened liberal, like Mr. Ashcroft and Mr. Ridge want...

The lady next door falls into the category nicely.

It seems to me that when Clinton went up against Bush, Perot had a great impact in peeling people away from Bush-one. As I recall, a lot of folks moved to Perot, and then to Clinton.

If we could get a liberal republican to challenge bush-two in the primaries, this might start to peel off some of that 88%.

OR

If we can find a meme that will allow folks to feel like a real republican and vote against bush-two.

seem to be on the increase.

I think someone should collect some good quotes from revered republicans to show what a travesty Twit is making of his party's former ideals.

Just trying to think of a liberal Republican who I'd like to see go up against * and peel away some votes. The problem with Chafee is that he'd probably take more votes away from the Democrats than the Re:puke:s! Truly liberal Repugs are a rare breed these days. I do think John McCain would be a great spoiler if he were to run- though, despite the fact that he's nowhere near being a "liberal", I can still see him peeling away as many Democrats as he would Repugs simply because so many Repugs hate him. Maybe Traficant should run... haha

18-29 year olds: I LOVE YOU!!!! There is hope.

BTW: I see nothing but good news in this. Independents are split NOW before the campaign!!!

...in the media: On average, they're more Democratic than Republican.

we are looking at stats based on a generic Dem. Once we have a live, breathing nominee, things should be even better.

;-)

We need to target blue collar white men and working white women. The gap among white voters is way too high. At least it's not 2-1, but it is still too large.