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papau (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-04 06:22 AM Original message |
Dr Freeman MIT PHD/UPenn prof says 1 chance in 250 million exitpolls wrong |
http://www.buzzflash.com/alerts/04/11/The_unexplained_exit_poll_discrepancy_v00k.pdf
http://www.ilcaonline.org/freeman.pdf In "The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy," Dr. Steven F. Freeman says: "As much as we can say in social science that something is impossible, it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote counts in the three critical battleground states University of Pennsylvania Professor Steven F. Freeman, whose November 9 study of the exit poll and official tallies in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania finds the figures totally incompatible. “The likelihood of any two of these statistical anomalies occurring together is in the order of one-in-a-million. The odds of all three occurring together are 250 million to one,” the MIT Ph.D calculated. “As much as we can say in social science that something is impossible, it is impossible that the discrepancies between predicted and actual vote counts in the three critical battleground states of the 2004 election could have been due to chance or random error.” He concludes the paper with this: "Systematic fraud or mistabulation is a premature conclusion, but the election's unexplained exit poll discrepancies make it an unavoidable hypothesis, one that is the responsibility of the media, academia, polling agencies, and the public to investigate." http://www.buzzflash.com/alerts/04/11/The_unexplained_exit_poll_discrepancy_v00k.pdf http://www.ilcaonline.org/freeman.pdf Suggested letter to the media: To Whom it May Concern, Dr. Freeman (steven.f.freeman@verizon.net) is on faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, and received his PhD from M.I.T.. In the following article, he debunks some of the circulating myths about the invalidity of exit poll data in this election, and statistically analyzes the chances of the so-called Bush 'red shift' in the three critical battleground states of Florida, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. Please do not continue to ignore the obvious discrepancies in this election. One has to consider that all of the 'irregularities' in this election somehow magically favored Mr. Bush. If you refuse to cover this, you'll next be trying to convince those readers and viewers who are not mentally challenged, to really believe that we still have a democracy. Sincerely, ************* OTHER SOURCES American Election Fraud http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6210240 They did it again, they stole another election http://www.sfbayview.com/111004/theydiditagain111004.shtml These are two demonstrable facts of the Presidential election of November 2, 2004: In states where paper ballots were used, exit polling was very much in line with the eventual vote counts;In states where electronic voting was used, exit polling was far askew of the final tally in that the final tally was uniformly several more points in favor of President Bush. Add to that the following suggestions:For the past 25 years -- but for a few eccentricites in 2000, most notably Florida -- exit polling has uniformly been preternaturally accurate; The broadcast networks, under pressure from the administration and the FCC, responded to the disparity in Florida by disbanding the Voter News Service which was the exit polling operation operated jointly by the major networks;In 2002 the networks re-evaluated and re-worked exit polling procedures and organized a successor operation, the National Election Pool, which has characteristically provided exit polls that were likewise preternaturally accurate ... until the 2004 Presidential election, for which service it was specifically designed. http://www.electionfraud.us/ Last fall, international foundations sponsored an exit poll in the former Soviet Republic of Georgia during a parliamentary election. On Election Day, the pollsters projected a victory for the main opposition party. When the sitting government counted the votes, however, it announced that its own slate of candidates had won. Supporters of the opposition stormed the parliament, and the president, Eduard A. Shevardnadze, resigned under pressure from the United States and Russia. Folks try to show an alternative point of view, arguing against the possibility of fraud by examining the "final" exit polls, but the polls they're examining are the "corrected" ones, made to fit the actual results. http://www.vote.caltech.edu/Election2004.html http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/7/21144/7478 http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6210240 http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/7/13233/6353 http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_U.S._Election_controversies_and_irregularities http://www.gregpalast.com/ http://www.independentmediasource.com/evotingfraud.htm http://www.alternet.org/election04/20416/ http://blackboxvoting.org/ http://www.commondreams.org/headlines04/1028-02.htm http://healthandenergy.com/election_fraud.htm http://www.dailykos.com/story/2004/11/4/224812/643 http://www.mydd.com/story/2004/11/5/65822/6348 http://www.scoop.co.nz/mason/stories/HL0307/S00064.htm http://www.disinfopedia.org/wiki.phtml?title=Diebold_Election_Systems http://www.wired.com/news/evote/0,2645,65579,00.html http://www.infoworld.com/article/04/11/02/HNevoteglitch_1.html http://americablog.blogspot.com/archives/2004_10_31_americablog_archive.html#109946880458828314 http://michiganimc.org/feature/display/7644/index.php http://www.cleveland.com/news/plaindealer/index.ssf?/base/cuyahoga/109499220014350.xml http://www.opednews.com/thoreau_110404_diebold.htm http://news.com.com/More+e-voting+glitches+surface/2100-1002_3-5440809.html |
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papau (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-04 06:26 AM Response to Original message |
1. MEDIA CONTACTS to send comments on the above to |
use the Media kit!
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ClintonTyree (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-04 07:45 AM Response to Original message |
2. Hey guys................. |
it's only SCIENCE we're talking about here. We all know :eyes: Science is "imperfect" at best. I'm sure if we consult the Good Book the answers will jump out at us like a bolt from the blue. Science; :crazy: puleeeeeze!
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Gman (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore | Fri Nov-12-04 07:57 AM Response to Original message |
3. People don't understand (or care about) statistics |
therefore the apathy. The RW plays on this stupidity to successfully skew issues.
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DU AdBot (1000+ posts) | Sat Apr 20th 2024, 11:39 AM Response to Original message |
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