Can the media not start a reprint of a Bush/GOP PR Blurb by saying that the following is a lie?
The key fact is that there is no problem to address – at least no obvious problem. The “Reagan demanded and passed in 84 increase in the Social Security retirement age from 65 to 67” stabilized the system to 2042 at least and quite likely forever. The current Soc Secururity Trustee Report projection of a low GDP out year growth assumption of 1.6% is a nice conservative assumption that gives an early warning if things are going wrong (via changes in the annual Soc Security Trustees Report). But using in the financial projections a more realistic GDP growth assumption that is more in line with US History shows everyone that there is no problem,and that therefore there is NOTHING TO FIX in Social Security. (Sourced as to facts:Congressional Budget Office Report "The Outlook for Social Security" at:
http://www.cbo.gov/showdoc.cfm?index=5530&sequence=0 )
And this months scare talk amplified by the GOP loving media is the ratio of workers to those getting a benefit in the future - never noting that at 2 to 1 there is no problem. Some how the fact that Soc Sec does more than retirement, and that the financial projections that take into account all the various OASDI benefits income and outflow show no problem, gets lost in the need of the Bush administration to sell - via a partial truth lie repeated without thought/analysis/or ethics by the media. A media gift to the rich via a yet another supporting of the screwing of the middle class and poor. A partial truth lie – like telling a truth like the 2 to 1 eventual ratio – is the only “truth” that ever comes out of the Bush administration. But the bottom line is the financial projection – and that “truth” is just not going to be discussed by Bush, media,and other friends because it shows no problem.
As an aside – increasing the normal retirement age meets 2 social goals – keeping folks that want to work under the age discrimination laws so that employers can not screw them because they are old, and keeping the ratio closer to 3 to 1 rather than 2 to 1. This ratio decrease is shown to scare folks – as are all Bush “partial truths” when the solution, if needed, is a minor age adjustment.
And the laugh – if you like to cry while you laugh – is the how the media is ignoring that Bush plans the fix – an increase for normal retirement so as to pay less to folks that retire at 62 – while then cutting SS even more so as to enhance his gift to the rich.
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From the Washington Monthly:
Most of the young people I know -- including myself until very recently -- HAVE BEEN TAKEN IN by a decades-long effort on behalf of privatizers into believing that Social Security is in "crisis," and that if we do nothing the system will "go bankrupt" before we retire, meaning that the system will somehow collapse and we won't get any benefits.
I... learned that the
"problem" was either
(a) fairly MODEST and quite solvable or
(b) NOT a problem at all.
*SOCIAL SECURITY AND ME....Matt Yglesias makes an important point about Social Security framing today*:
Washington Monthly
December 17, 2004
I'm not sure the older liberals who run the show quite understand how overwhelmingly important it is to keep the "there is no crisis" message front and center in the Social Security debate. Most of the young people I know -- including myself until very recently -- have been taken in by a decades-long effort on behalf of privatizers into believing that Social Security is in "crisis," and that if we do nothing the system will "go bankrupt" before we retire, meaning that the system will somehow collapse and we won't get any benefits.
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This is true, and I used to be one of these people too. As a well-informed citizen, I knew that Social Security was unsustainable, that life expectancies were increasing, that fewer workers would be supporting more retirees in the future, and in general, that the program was facing a demographic timebomb that would cause it to go bankrupt within a couple of decades.
This was back in the mid-90s, and for some reason I took an interest in finding out more. So I wrote off for a copy of the trustees report, read up on tax policy and demographic projections, pored through various analyses, and -- to my surprise -- learned that the problem was either (a) fairly modest and quite solvable or (b) not a problem at all.
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