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My prediction: $100 oil by the first of the new year. Your thoughts? nt

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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:54 AM
Original message
My prediction: $100 oil by the first of the new year. Your thoughts? nt
Edited on Tue Oct-20-09 08:56 AM by Javaman
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ejpoeta Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:56 AM
Response to Original message
1. it would help if we know what you meant. are you talking about oil???
if you are, then i am not sure. All I can think about is those electric cars and how mad I am that the car companies scrapped them. THinking about making my husband make an electric car... how hard can it be!! LOL!
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Javaman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:57 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. LOL yeah, I corrected it. LOL nt
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meegbear Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:57 AM
Response to Original message
2. Cut me a slice of that action ...
Edited on Tue Oct-20-09 08:58 AM by meegbear
Oh it's oil ... nevermind.
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no_hypocrisy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:57 AM
Response to Original message
4. Depends on supply (availability or production) and rate of devaluation of the dollar.
A possibility.
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Skink Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 09:02 AM
Response to Original message
5. Gas in prices in Texas are rising fast.
just what shoppers need for the holiday season.
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dhpgetsit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 09:03 AM
Response to Original message
6. Convert your US$ to Mexican Pesos!
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ret5hd Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 09:05 AM
Response to Reply #6
7. No. Brazilian Rials.
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Arctic Dave Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 09:45 AM
Response to Original message
8. If $100.00 a barrel, pretty darn close. Oil companies are sidelining exploration
and development. Drilling rigs are stacked out all over, which in turn will lead to less supply. Of course they will blame it on Obama and taxes. Look for this meme as we get closer to election time.
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AndyA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 10:04 AM
Response to Original message
9. Obama needs to take action now to make sure gas prices don't rise too much.
Talk about stalling any recovery. I think high gas prices are more to blame for the current situation than they've been given credit for.

And who profited because of those high prices? Where is the investigation into price gouging during a time of war?
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Braulio Donating Member (860 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #9
15. Which war?
I'm not sure which war you're referring to...is that the war on drugs?
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muriel_volestrangler Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 11:24 AM
Response to Original message
10. $85 (60 euros) per barrel by the end of the year
Edited on Tue Oct-20-09 11:24 AM by muriel_volestrangler
ie euro drops back to about $1.4. Just looking at trends. :shrug:
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Sinti Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 11:29 AM
Response to Original message
11. It will be "whatever the market will bear" as it is with all things. n/t
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damntexdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 12:07 PM
Response to Original message
12. Oily Taint.
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BadgerKid Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 01:00 PM
Response to Original message
13. Oil stays high if meaningful HCR goes through.
It seems the RW only knows how to take economic hostages.
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Terry in Austin Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 05:14 PM
Response to Original message
14. Closer to $85 than $100
There's been a fair amount of chatter lately about a new floor price of $70; seems unlikely to hit $100 that soon, though, without a sharp uptick in demand -- of course, holiday spending season may provide just that.

I'm pretty sure it will go over $100 some time next year; also pretty sure it will crater not long after that, and go through the same cycle several more times.

Here in the oil end-game, it's to be expected that there will be a lot of price volatility.

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Braulio Donating Member (860 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 05:54 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Uncle Abdullah says
The fair price is $75 according to the Saudis. They'll raise production if the price goes up. I wouldn't bet on $100 even if the dollar drops a bit more, it's already plenty low and the europeans are whining.
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pscot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 08:12 PM
Response to Original message
17. Hundred dollar oil
equals four dollar-a-gallon gasoline equals double dip recession.
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Dogmudgeon Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-20-09 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
18. It will keep pace with the economic recovery for some time
With more money available, prices will rise.

At some point, oil prices and business activity will again de-couple. That's the golden opportunity for speculators, because it makes it easy to cover their tracks.

Petrologists have mapped most, but not all, of the Earth, in their search for petroleum. There might be one or two big oil fields left, but that's not too likely. Unless we find oil a lot deeper than where we think it can be found, we are going to have to depend on technological advances to squeeze out more oil from rock matrix. There's a lot of oil to be had there, but it has a much lower EROEI.

I do think that natural "Deep Gas" will be the next boom energy commodity, and the Marcellus Shale gas deposits are a sign of what's to come. It's being sold as "clean", but it still has half the carbon load of coal. Such gas-bearing shales underlie a majority of the Earth's surface. A natural-gas economy could conceivably be sustained through much of the century.

Nope -- I don't like that prospect at all.

--d!
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