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NickB79 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 12:48 AM
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Saudi slashes oil output, says market oversupplied
http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/us_saudi_oil

"KUWAIT (Reuters) – Saudi Arabia's oil minister said on Sunday the kingdom had slashed output by 800,000 barrels per day in March due to oversupply, sending the strongest signal yet that OPEC will not act to quell soaring prices.

Consumers have urged the exporters' group to pump more crude to put a cap on oil, which surged to more than $127 a barrel this month, its highest level in 2 1/2 years amid unrest in North Africa and the Middle East.

Oil Ministers from Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates echoed Saudi Arabia's Ali al-Naimi's concerns about oversupply and said rocketing crude prices were out of the hands of OPEC, which next meets in June.

"The market is overbalanced ... Our production in February was 9.125 million barrels per day (bpd), in March it was 8.292 million bpd. In April we don't know yet, probably a little higher than March. The reason I gave you these numbers is to show you that the market is oversupplied," Naimi told reporters."


Saudi Arabia has peaked. There, I said it.
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DJ13 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 12:55 AM
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1. They could be right about supply
It wasnt very many months back (just before the price mysteriously spiked) that it was reported supplies were at 20 year highs.

With increased prices and no disruptions in pumping or shipping I doubt the situation could have changed much since then.
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dkf Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 01:01 AM
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2. Weren't they releasing a lower grade of crude to supposedly compensate for Libya?
I heard the market wasn't enthused with their offerings.
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hatrack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 06:52 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I think I posted a Staniford thread re. how the didn't compensate for Libya . . .
I mean, they took up a little slack, but not much.
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Chris_Texas Donating Member (707 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 12:15 PM
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4. It's not about "peak" oil. It's about market speculation
Current oil prices, or rather the spike we have just seen, has NOTHINg to do with supply and demand. The spike was investor speculation.
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phantom power Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 12:43 PM
Response to Original message
5. I sense a new E/E pool: How long can OPEC get away with saying "oversupplied!"
A 4-pack of Burton Baton says "Another 5 years"


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GliderGuider Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Apr-18-11 12:45 PM
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6. "As Saudi Arabia goes, so goes the world."
Anybody who wants to find out what this fuss is really about needs to pick up a copy of Matt Simmons' Peak Oil book "Twilight in the Desert". Yes, there's some geopolitical gaming going on, but the big story is that Saudi production is maxed out, and may be about to fall off a cliff in the next couple of years.

Here's a selection of large oil producers that are past peak production:
Country	        Peak            2008     % Off     Peak
Prod. Prod. Peak Year
------------------------------------------------------------------
United States 11297 7337 -35% 1970
Venezuela 3754 2566 -32% 1970
Libya 3357 1846 -45% 1970
Kuwait 3339 2784 -17% 1972
Iran 6060 4325 -29% 1974
Indonesia 1685 1004 -41% 1977
Iraq 3489 2423 -31% 1979
Other Europe
& Eurasia 762 427 -44% 1986
Russia 11484 9886 -14% 1987
Egypt 941 722 -23% 1993
Syria 596 398 -33% 1995
Argentina 890 682 -23% 1998
Colombia 838 618 -26% 1999
United Kingdom 2909 1544 -47% 1999
Australia 809 556 -31% 2000
Norway 3418 2455 -28% 2001
Oman 961 728 -24% 2001
Yemen 457 305 -33% 2002
Mexico 3824 3157 -17% 2004
Malaysia 793 754 -5% 2004
Nigeria 2580 2170 -16% 2005

There is more than speculation driving oil prices: about half of the world's oil comes from countries whose production is on the back side of the curve.
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