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Sapphire Blue Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-21-06 07:52 PM
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Africa on the brink of catastrophic change -- blame global warming
Sunday, May 21, 2006

Africa on the brink of catastrophic change -- blame global warming

By PAUL VALLEY
GUEST COLUMNIST

Africa is facing the greatest catastrophe in human history. Climate change represents a nightmare scenario for the future of the people of the world's poorest continent, according to the official preparing a top-level report due to land on the desks of British Prime Minister Tony Blair and Chancellor to the Treasury Gordon Brown later this year.

Emerging analysis seen by the Stern Review into the economic impact of climate change suggests one of the worst affected places on the planet also will be the poorest.

Global warming could cause temperature rises double those elsewhere. The consequences would be dramatic declines in rainfall and a fall in crop yields that could make previous famines look like small tragedies. Desertification could accelerate around the Sahara. There are likely to be severe water shortages in many parts of the continent.

Diseases such as malaria, dengue fever and cholera may increase. As many as 67 million more people could be at risk of malaria epidemics by the 2080s. As a result, huge sections of the population may be set on the move.

Continued @ http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/opinion/270809_africa21.html



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Dead_Parrot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-21-06 08:00 PM
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1. Good article...
...or rather, an accurate article. not what I'd call "good". :(
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Igel Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-21-06 08:40 PM
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2. Regardless of the research being reported on,
Edited on Sun May-21-06 08:45 PM by igil
the guy doing the writing is an innumerate idiot.

'The report, by Sir Nick Stern, head of Government Economic Policy, is due to be completed in October. The review is still in progress, but evidence given by the Hadley Center, one of Europe's leading research bodies on climate change, predicts an average rise in global temperatures of between 2.4°C (36.3°F) to 5.4°C (41.7°F).

'But for Africa temperature rises over many areas will be double the global average. Stern: "For example, under a high-emissions scenario, global temperatures will rise by over 4°C (39°F) by the 2080s, but according to some models temperatures in Africa could rise by up to 7°C (44.6°F) in southern Africa and 8°C (42.4°F) in northern Africa -- almost double the global average." '

The doofus took "2.4 C" and plugged it into a converter: he didn't come up with an interval (how many degrees F are 2.4 degrees C), he came up with what a temperature of 2.4 C would be in Fahrenheit. At least he kept making the same mistake.

On edit: He's even more of a doofus than I thought. Notice that if you double the average of 39 degrees F you get something on the order of 44 degrees F. (But that's assuming his impossible 8 degrees C is colder in Fahrenheit than 7 degrees C is right.) Must be that Valley math (up there with Valley speak).
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cliss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun May-21-06 09:35 PM
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3. Yes, this is entirely possible.
I've read that the whole Mediterranean area is going through some kind of dry spell - large parts of Spain have a serious problem with desertification, even southern France and beautiful Provence - all at risk.

Now, the US is totally OK with this. In fact, if they could speed it up they would. Millions of Africans are seen as "unnecessary" in the upcoming Global Resource wars. A war that poor people will lose hands down.

Don't blame me for this; I just read it on www.fromthewilderness.com. Look under 'search'.

In fact the article says that US scientists are working with viruses to speed things up.
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NNadir Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon May-22-06 09:15 AM
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4. Well let's look on the bright side.
As the Sahara expands, there will be plenty of opportunity to install solar cells and solar thermal plants unobstructed by rain clouds and trees.

As for the 182 million people, at least you will be able to say that they will not die from plutonium poisoning. If you recall, 10 deaths from plutonium are easily worse than 182 million deaths from any other cause, because plutonium is spelled n-u-c-l-e-a-r. N-u-c-l-e-a-r starts with an "N," and so this would make things much worse.
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mainegreen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu May-25-06 08:29 AM
Response to Original message
5. 'On the brink'? Try 10,000 years into it already!
It's not like the Sahara didn't used to be a verdant grassland 10,000 years ago.
Oh wait, yes it did.
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