I'm impressed.
You write, "global warming advocates are not pro-nuclear."
I agree. People who think that global warming is a good thing are not likely to favor nuclear power.
By the way, Stephen Pacala is at
Princeton, not
MIT. No biggie, I already know about your skill with reading. I do note that being from either prestigious institute makes you
right.
It would appear that, based on the number of new nuclear power plants being announced in recent times, the statement "nuclear power is a non-starter," has not been believed by people willing to put hundreds of billions of dollars where their mouths are.
I guess the nuclear industry might not wait for Dr. Pacala's stamp of approval before producing a full stabilization wedge all by itself.
Here is Stephen Pacala's website:
http://www.eeb.princeton.edu/FACULTY/Pacala/Pacala.htmlIn no place in his CV, which is here:
http://www.eeb.princeton.edu/FACULTY/Pacala/cv.pdf do I see any expertise that would make him an expert in terrorism, or for that matter, nuclear engineering, although he cites "terrorism," as a reason that "nuclear power is a non-starter."
As a
biologist he is, however, an expert in carbon dynamics in the ecosystem, and, not that I would want to trouble you with anything like
context, includes nuclear power as an option in the
famous science paper. However the
Science paper must meet more rigorous stances than an interview published on a website.
Here is some context:
"However, I cannot imagine that in this era of concerns about terrorism that we are going to start the production of fissionable material all over the world...
...If you try to solve even one wedge of this problem with nuclear, it would require a doubling in the amount of nuclear power deployed. Solving the problem entirely with nuclear means increasing deployment by a factor of 10, and if you calculate how many of these plants would have to be in countries like Sudan and Afghanistan, you are just not going to do it."
As for the one wedge, with 220 reactors now either under construction, ordered or proposed, and 440 operating,
doubling doesn't seem to be much of a problem.
Now, I know that many people regard a Princeton professorship as oracular, that it is almost against the law to disagree with someone who is a professor at Princeton, but I do disagree with Dr. Pacala all the same. I would disagree with him if he was at Harvard. I would disagree with him if was at Stanford. I would disagree with him if he was at the South Dakota School of Mining and Engineering. I would disagree with him if he was at Mercer Community College or at the University of South Florida.
I support nuclear reactors in Sudan, in Afghanistan, the United States -
so long as they are all operated under the auspices of the IAEA. I don't think that people in the Sudan are less human than I am, for instance.
Of course, we should examine this claim about the Sudan on a deeper level. The electrical demand of the Sudan can be found here:
http://www.eia.doe.gov/pub/international/iealf/table62.xlsThe electrical energy consumed in the Sudan was 3.58 billion kilowatt-hours, or 0.013 exajoules in 2004. This is a continous average power of 407 Megawatts, or less than 1/3 the output of
one modern EPR nuclear reactor. Now, I don't know Dr. Pacala's view of the situation, but from my perspective this is not an inordinately huge demand. I believe that the people of the Sudan, being human, deserve
more energy. I suspect that the tragedy of Sudan has something to do with
poverty you see. If
poverty were eliminated, I suspect that the problems of Dafur - including the war there - would be mitigated if not
gone.
I think that Sudanese being human - at least in my opinion - a single nuclear reactor in Sudan, or maybe nearby is not
too much to ask, especially given that the number of nuclear terrorist or for that matter nuclear wars, at least since 1945, remains at
zero.
As for your opinion of what
environmentalists think, I would question whether you even know what an environmentalist is. Environmentalism doesn't involve praying and chanting. Let me help you further with this: An environmentalist is not simply someone who buys the Sierra club calendar printed on recycled paper.
An environmetalist is someone who believes in
doing something to stop the wholesale degradation of our environment which is happening on an unprecedented scale. If you have a greenhouse gas fighting strategy that is now planned on a multi-exajoule scale, something on the
scale of nuclear power,
produce it.
Produce it now dammit because climate change is happening
now.
If you
can't produce it, well then...I'm very impressed by your Sierra club calendar on recycled paper, but it's really not about
environmentalism.