By Edwin Naidu
A major new study undertaken on behalf of the government has found that South Africa is in the midst of an Aids crisis even more devastating than feared.
The study predicts there will be fewer pupils in future than earlier population forecasts. Declining fertility has already had an effect on school enrolments as HIV-positive women have more difficulty conceiving.
The average rate of increase in school enrolments between 1980 and 1985 was 3.63 percent. Between 1985 and 1990, it was 3.78 percent a year and between 1990 and 1995, 4.21 percent. However, between 1995 and 2000, the overall rate collapsed to just 0.05 percent.
http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?click_id=13&art_id=ct20040328102555610A320677&set_id=1
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