BEIRUT -- Wisdom, equity and realism on Arab-Israeli issues are scarce commodities among former or serving American officials. So it is noteworthy when one of the most experienced and respected ex-American diplomats suggests, as did former US undersecretary of state for political affairs Thomas R. Pickering last week in Qatar, that a key to peacemaking should be Israeli recognition of the right of Palestinian refugees who fled or were driven out in 1948 to return to their homes and lands in what is now Israel.
Pickering achieved the personal rank of career ambassador, the highest in the United States Foreign Service, at the peak of his 40 years of government service. More recently, he worked in the private corporate sector, from which he has just announced his retirement. Speaking in his personal capacity at the inaugural seminar of the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service in Qatar, established in conjunction with the Qatar Foundation, he outlined steps that he thought could pave the way for progress in the ongoing conflicts in Iran, Iraq, and Israel and Palestine.
On the latter, he argued that a two-state solution required a return of Palestinian land occupied in 1967, "approaching 100 percent, with negotiated tradeoffs", giving Palestinians control over their own internal security and foreign guarantees for their external security. Jerusalem's status would be resolved according to the Ehud Barak-Bill Clinton ideas of 2000 (essentially: what's Arab is Arab, and what's Jewish is Jewish).
Pickering's call for Israel to recognize the right of return of the 1948 Palestinians is noteworthy. No serving or retired American official of such stature and firsthand personal knowledge of the conflict has ever explicitly called for Israeli recognition of the Palestinians' right of return. I pursued the matter privately with Pickering after his public talk, and asked if he was referring strictly to the generation of Palestinians who became refugees in 1948. He replied affirmatively, and explained:
"The right of return is controversial and the Israelis don't want to actually admit or honor this right, for the simple reason that they see it as a slippery slope. Over a period of time they think that the Palestinian and Arab objective is to flood Israel with returning refugees, and therefore, in a sense, 'demograph' it out of existence. The real question is whether a right of return could be recognized within negotiated limits. This would give to the Palestinians the recognition they feel is important for themselves, but at the same time protect Israel against a flood of returnees."
How would his proposal work in practice? "I would say there are three or four steps," Pickering explained. "First, recognize the right of return. Second, define it. One way to define it in the narrowest way would be to say that anybody who left in 1948 could return, but not their progeny born after 1948.
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