implausible?
This is not a theoretical question. The amount of massive expansion throughout the Occupied West Bank and Occupied East Jerusalem really does raise that possibility to a point of a very genuine reality.
Already the new massive road and other infrastructure systems which connect throughout the West Bank, around Jerusalem and in the Jordan Valley have effectively cantonized the Occupied Palestinian Territories into disjointed population centers in which a viable and contiguous and independent state is becoming or some even believe already has become improbable. This is the on-the-ground reality! Can it be changed? Possibly, but it would take an enormous amount of political will that simply does not exist at this time and certainly does not appear to be developing. Just as almost no one imagines Maale Adumin or Gilo and other major settlement blocks on Occupied Palestinian land to be removed or turned over to Palestinian sovereignty -- it is only a matter of time before the massive expansion throughout the Jordan Valley and a the rest of the West Bank that all the road systems and infrastructure which cuts up and dissects the Occupied Palestinian Territories into disjointed and non-economically viable population centers will likely be similarly institutionalized.
Let me make it clear...I am not beating the drum for the one-state solution! I REALLY am not. I would absolutely and definitely support a two-state solution -- provided it is a genuine and viable and genuinely contiguous and genuinely independent state with unimpeded access to the capital in East Jerusalem.
Even most of those who strongly prefer a one-state solution would support a two state solution under those conditions.
But much of this expansion simply does make one wonder if that will be possible or plausible. It makes a lot of people wonder that.
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There is certainly nothing arrogant about suggesting a different approach if the assumed orthodoxy appears to be rapidly fading as a possibility or at least as a probability. Especially there is certainly nothing wrong for a member of a Palestinian family who has lived in both the West Bank and Gaza and knows the on-the-ground reality first hand to speak the truth as they have seen it with there own eyes and know it from their own family and loved ones.
Admittedly this is anecdotal, but still a true story. A friend of mine just got back from East Jerusalem a few weeks ago. He hadn't been there since 1997. He had always supported the two-state solution for as long as I knew him. He came back absolutely convinced that it is now a flat-out physical impossibility.
ALL ideas start out as minority opinion. Even the concept of Jewish/Zionist state in Palestine was supported by only of minority of Jews both secular and religious at the time Mr. Herzl and associates met in Basil, Switzerland in 1897 and for the first few decades thereafter.
And though most Palestinians in a straight up or down question cite the two-state solution as the option they support. It is equally clear that a majority of Palestinians are certainly not at all opposed to the one-state solution in principle but have doubts of its probability but are very sympathetic to the concept in principle:
"Here is poll from February 2007 Conducted by Near East Consulting of :
Support or opposition to a one-state solution in historic Palestine where Muslims, Christians and Jews have equal rights and responsibilities
"A survey that was recently executed by Near Eastern Consulting in Ram allah revealed that 70 percent of the Palestinians support the one-state solution <3>. The survey was held amongst 1200 randomly selected Palestinians in the West Bank, the Gaza Strip and Jerusalem.
links:
http://www.jai-pal.org/content.php?page=491http://www.neareastconsulting.com/surveys/all/p22/out_freq_q27.php This result is in line with the survey amongst 520 opinion leaders. 67.5% of the interviewed Palestinian opinion leaders in the West Bank and Gaza Strip see the solution of the conflict in one democratic state in historical Palestine for all its citizens without discrimination based on religion, race, ethnicity, color or sex."
link:
http://www.alternativenews.org/news/english/palestinian-poll-on-final-status-issues-borders-refugees-jerusalem-water-politics-democracy-20070304.html---
There is very serious doubt if a two-state solution will or even can ever happen. If there is no two-states --- well 2-1 = 1. That is very simple math.
To quote the former Deputy Mayor of Jerusalem, Meron Benvenisti
"And there's a fourth model, which can be called "undeclared binationalism." It's a unitary state controlled by one dominant national group, which leaves the other national group disenfranchised and subject to laws "for natives only," which for the purposes of respectability and international law are known as laws of "belligerent occupation." The convenience of this model of binationalism is that it can be applied over a long period of time, meanwhile debating the threat of the "one state" and the advantages of the "two states," without doing a thing. That's the situation nowadays. But the process is apparently inevitable. Israel and the Palestinians are sinking together into the mud of the "one state." The question is no longer whether it will be binational, but which model to choose."
from: Which kind of binational state?
By former Jerusalem Deputy Mayor Meron Benvenisti
link:
http://www.haaretz.com/hasen/pages/ShArt.jhtml?itemNo=363062&contrassID=2&subContrassID=1&sbSubContrassID=0&listSrc=Y.