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Edited on Mon Mar-23-09 09:20 AM by HamdenRice
I'm not sure what you mean by "debunked" or what part of the story was supposed to be debunked. The Congressman got the dates wrong, but if this is the same interview I'm thinking of he got most of it right, even if he wasn't that specific about what actually happened.
That week, the entire global financial system almost ended. It was that bad. Economists on both the right and the left agree that we came very close to, essentially, needing gold coins to buy groceries.
I don't think Kanjorski is saying that any one particular person, entity or conspiracy did this.
What happened was that there was a run on the money market system. Here in New York, perhaps it was more palpable than elsewhere, but people were standing around looking at the Times Square electronic headlines and running to their banks to empty their accounts. Unlike other "runs" in history, however, it was shaping up to be not a run on a bank, but a run on the entire financial system.
The reason was that Lehman defaulted on its commercial paper. Commercial paper is the lifeblood of corporate short term financing. They are kind of like post dated checks. If a company needs cash, it will issue commercial paper for, say $100,000 dated 30 days from today. It will sell it on the commercial paper or money market at discount (say $99,900). 30 days from today, the holder will present the paper and get paid $100,000, the difference being the interest.
The main buyers of commercial paper are money market mutual funds. Most investors of money market mutual funds treat them like cash equivalents. Commercial paper was considered the most ultra safe investment (because not much can usually happen in 30 days) and money market funds are supposed to be one of the safest forms of interest bearing accounts. They're like money in the bank. The total amount of the money market/commercial paper market was around $4 trillion.
In September, one money market fund lost a lot of money on Lehman commercial paper and "broke the buck." That meant that the value of $1 deposit was less than $1, but instead was like 97 cents. So investors flooded the market with requests for redemptions, not just from that company but from all money market accounts, and within a few hours $550 billion flooded out of the money markets, and then the panic spread to checking and savings accounts. Several major banks and money market funds were hours away from going out of business.
If you consider that the bankruptcy of one bank, Lehman, set off that catastrophic week in September, the Treasury and Fed were staring at the possibility of all the major money market funds, money center banks and remaining investment banks failing on the same day, or within days of each other. Inter bank lending effectively ceased, and without interbank lending, there can't be settlement, which means banks could not cash, accept for deposit, or honor checks drawn on other banks.
We were hours away from you not having been able to cash a check, use an ATM, etc. Whatever you had in the bank or invested would pretty much have been unavailable to you if not simply disappeared. Nearly everyone would have had to be laid off overnight, because no company or employer would have had access to money, checks, etc. When he said all our wealth would have disappeared, obviously our factories and farms wouldn't have disappeared, but with no one working in them, with no functioning financial system, almost all our assets would have been rendered valueless.
That's why Paulson gave his sweaty, bug eyed, terrified Uncle Fester like performance on the financial news channels, and demanded the bailout.
That's the precipice, the abyss, that we came within hours of falling into, and staring into it scared the shit out of everyone who understood the financial system last fall.
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