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Was Truman/Dewey the last race this close involving an incumbent

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
soleft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:03 AM
Original message
Was Truman/Dewey the last race this close involving an incumbent
And except for Truman has an incumbent ever not been leading with 3 weeks left and won? What were the Bush I/Clinton numbers 3 weeks out?

Need some positive messages here because I'm nervous about a) Sinclair b) Nuisance ads c) * making black and white answers to complex questions and being hailed by the media as showing greater moral clarity.
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leftchick Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:06 AM
Response to Original message
1. I for one do not believe it is "this close"...
not in the least. I have been working and listening to people in my CONSERVATIVE part of NC for quite a while now. The only support idiotboy* has now is his base, period! Do not let the corrupt polls fool you like our corrupt media trys to.

:)
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:07 AM
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2. Actually I believe Carter Ford was at least this close
of course we had no idea how screwed up the voting machines were then. Hell Ford might have actually won the damned thing.
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dolstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:07 AM
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3. Actually, the Carter/Reagan race remained close until the last few weeks
Reagan pulled away at the end, but it was actually close through much of the fall.
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tishaLA Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:15 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. In that one, the debate was right before the election, I think
with this, the distance between the debate and the election gives the race a strange dynamic. george has to hope nothing happens in Iraq and he has to pray Sen. Kerry makes a major gaffe.
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soleft Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:20 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. well, with Ford/Carter - Carter/Reagon that's good news
Cause in both cases the incument lost. I mean, it's not good that Carter lost, you know what I mean.
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SheilaT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 10:32 AM
Response to Original message
6. There was also a lot of faulty polling
in 1948. Most (maybe all?) of the major pollsters stopped polling two weeks before the election, because they were under the impression that hardly anyone made up their mind in the last two weeks.

There were also numerous stories of Republicans who were so confident that Dewey would win that they didn't bother to vote. Not sure how much of that is urban legend, however.
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