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Rasmussen Edges to Kerry, Zogby to Bush. Raz Data for Iowa and Wisc.

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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:14 PM
Original message
Rasmussen Edges to Kerry, Zogby to Bush. Raz Data for Iowa and Wisc.
Edited on Tue Oct-12-04 12:27 PM by louis c
Yesterday, Zogby and Rasmussen were 7 points apart in their 3 day tracking poll. Today, they are only 1 point apart.

Rasmussen 3 day national tracking poll has Bush at 47% and Kerry 46%. This is a 3 point Kerry gain from yesterday.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com

Zogby, in his 3 day national tracking for the same days, has the race dead even at 45%. This is a 3 point Bush gain from yesterday. Go figure.

http://www.zogby.com/news/readNews.dbm?ID=883

In some better news, Rasmussen Premium Numbers for the weekly update of Iowa are startling. Iowa is now Kerry 50%-46%, up 7 points from last week's results which were Bush 48%-45%

Wisconsin remains statistically unchanged at Bush 48%-45% from last week's results of Bush 49%-46%.



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Bleacher Creature Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:18 PM
Response to Original message
1. As always, thanks!
Like you, I'm a little leery of Rasmussen. I just can't believe a poll that has Bush up by ANYTHING (let alone 4) on the question who you trust to manage the economy better.
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Melodybe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:19 PM
Response to Original message
2. Glad I don't trust Zogby either, put the polls back with the
horoscopes and the comics cause that is where these belong.

BTW has anyone here even tried polling? 95% of the time they hang up.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:22 PM
Response to Reply #2
4. On a more pleasant note
I like polls showing Kerry up 1 point, down 1 or even.

No one will take this election for granted or despair. It will make everyone work harder. We have the numbers, so if we work hard, we will win.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:26 PM
Response to Reply #4
7. Yes, the Bush people were counting
on the perception that Bush was going to win handily. Now that's gone, and Kerry has a decent chance at least of pulling this out.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:20 PM
Response to Original message
3. The race nationally is a tie
and the state polls reflect that, too. BTW, that Wisconsin number is actually an improvement when you consider Bush's share of the vote dropped to 48 percent. The more undecideds the better for Kerry.
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louis c Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:24 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. I agree.
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Kammer Donating Member (96 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:25 PM
Response to Original message
6. Good News
Edited on Tue Oct-12-04 12:26 PM by Kammer
Any incumbent President who polls at 45-47% is dead meat...
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:29 PM
Response to Original message
8. Thanks, Louis
I'm glad about Iowa, but Jeez, I wish Wisconsin would get with it. I still think we will win here on election day especially if the new registers get out and vote.
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sonicx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:41 PM
Response to Original message
9. ras, zogby, gallup all have it about tied
ABC has Bush up 5, CBS has bush up 3.

BTW, in Gallup's new poll, they have 4% more republicans than democrats (Kerry was still up overall by 1)

go to the 'left coaster' blog to see.
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DarthDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-12-04 12:42 PM
Response to Original message
10. Iowa . . .
. . . is a Kerry lock. I expect Wisconsin to shift over soon as well.
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