ROLL CALL: How is Kerry doing in your State?

What's your State?
How much momentum, if any, does Kerry have?
Do you think he has a good chance of winning your state?
If you have any anecdotal or polling evidence to share, please do.

I think he has a good chance of winning my state. :)

:)

All them damn librolls!

:)

I think that pretty much says it all no?

....we're cool; we're blue

Keep canvassing...and visibility! :hi:

bn

I dunno.

Me thinks it's closer than the polls suggest!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

Kerry absolutely OWNS L.A. Especially on the Westside. Which is Arnold territory, even.

moved here to Georgia, that could be good!

You won't miss the traffic in SoCal...promise :)

There just are NO Bush yard signs or bumper stickers in the LA area and I only know one person who is voting for Bush!

Wish the rest of the nation was just like this!

n/t

Anecdotal evidence: Four years ago my neighborhood was evenly divided between Gore and chimp yard signs. This year there isn't a single chimp yard sign -- plenty of Kerry/Edwards signs though. This time around chimp supporters are apparently ashamed to admit it.

In these parts, Bush is Newspeak for Enron.

There's vehement Bushing, but it's all just protest. Kerry's got it solid here, and we love it.

I hope Boxer has the same edge, she's not campaigning at all.

david

There's alot more Kerry/Edwards bumper stickers than you would think here in Houston. In one of the suburbs(Richmond) there's not a bush sign in sight. There are Kerry yard signs etc. all over the place! Basically, bush is going to roll, but look for it to be closer than you would think and look for some democratic congressional hopefuls to pull the upset.

In the City it looks very Kerry. Kerry signs everywhere. People who have signs for Sessions strangly do not also have bush signs. I see very few bush signs in general.

The suburbs may be different but downtown there does not seem to be strong support for bush

I was driving around today and saw entire blocks of Kerry signs and even saw some Frost people going door to door.

My feeling is republicans are supporting the party, not chimpoleon

We registered twns of thousands of new voters this year and are shifting gears to GOTV those folks as well as the couple of hundred thousand people who have been registered but never actually voted. I expect that Bush* will win Texas, but we will keep him below 55%.

www.dalcoelections.org

Guess what? 10,000 people have ALREADY voted. Dayum!

Morrison was within 8 points. This was BEFORE they started the ads. I'm keeping my fingers crossed for him.

www.morrisonfor22.com --> DUMP DELAY!!!!

If it truely was, would Delay be running ads non-stop? I've only seen one Morrison ad. Polls are hard to come by. I'm not quite in his district either. We've got our own fundy nut-job(John Culberson)to dethrone.

Absolutely wacked! Tom Delay alone is the only reason Bush was able to screw everyone after 9-11 (or so he says). Is he thinking he might go for the Prez gig in 08?

There's a reason that he's only House Majority Leader and not Speaker. He can't be the face.

I thought that was pretty big.

RCP average puts it at:
Bush Kerry
RCP Average | 10/1-10/14 - - 44.0 49.2 2.0 Kerry +5.2

I feel Bush had some momentum in this state after the convention, but Kerry seized it from him after the first debate, that probably sealed it for him, though I doubt Bush would've won NJ even had Kerry had lost the debates.

Latest Rasmussen puts Kerry up 9, latest Star Ledger puts him up 6. I think this is like 2000 all over again, Gore didn't have that big a lead in NJ, but crushed Bush in the end.

85-90% chance Kerry carries NJ

An uphill battle. Kerry down 7 points in latest poll of Oct. 4, but Bush won here in 2000 by over 13 points.

Anecdotal evidence was positive for Kerry in the past few weeks -- Dems with a 600,000 voter advantage over Repukes in registered voters, Kerry yard signs and bumper stickers popping up like crazy, BUT the Repukes have started to respond in kind. It's going to be closer than people are expecting. My prediction: Kerry by 8,000 votes.

. . . would be incredible. How's Bowles doing, in your view?

Like I said, the Repukes have gotten off their asses and are picking up steam. Latest poll (sorry, can't remember source) has a dead heat. I can't see my Kerry win without Bowles also going along for the ride, but we MUST GOTV.

Every week or so I drive through Wake Forest which is very conservative due to the Baptist Seminary. The number of Kerry signs in yards on Main Street has gone from 4 to 7 in one week. That's encouraging. Another encouraging sign I saw was a yard with a Republican Judicial nominee sign and a Kerry sign. So it looks like some Republicans can't bring themselves to support Chimp.

K/E pull off NC, and it's all over for Shrub.

:smoke:

-Laelth

Kerry doesn't seem as concerned about it as Bush does, and believe me, with the average person/voter, these Bush visits are hurting him more than helping. Before his last visit, everyone at work was pretty "Not again!" Even among his own supporters, one of them said "God! I can't wait for this election to be over, I'm so sick of this crap!" Which was followed by a lot of "amens" and agreement.

My group of friends and I are all active or volunteering for Kerry and half either didn't vote last time or voted for shrub/nader. Even when we're out at the bars we're talking poitics and swinging votes...

Need I say more??

I would note that the Kerry campaign is MUCH more visible here (East Tennessee) than Gore's campaign was in 2000.

I've been keeping an eye on the local,early voting numbers. Voting started Wednesday, and it is brisk!

But it's not out of the question. Would be nice if I lived ten miles up I-140 and could vote in Arkansas where my vote will make more of a difference.

Some are putting Tenn. in the toss-up category (Map on an MSNBC broadcast today). Not that it's even yet, but Kerry's closing. Whatever you can do between now and elctions day, even the littlest things you can think of, may make a difference.

I know, it can be scary, but you'd be surprised. Talk to 50 people, if you turn one vote that's 2%!

Kerry Up!!

No. 1 campaign contributor state here

Virginia (canvassed earlier today) is close -- I would bet there's a 25% chance it goes to Kerry.

Live in Northern VA -- have spent the last month canvassing, registering voters, signing up new volunteers and handing out literature at back to school nights to overwhelmingly proKerry response! There are signs and bumper stickers EVERYWHERE! I honestly believe that if we can get a high enough turnout in NoVA, the most populated area of the State, then Bushco may have a nasty surprise come Nov. 2!!

It looks as close as it was in 2000. Gore won by 366 votes. Polls recently placed Bush ahead by a couple of points, but I don't believe it. Am hitting the neighborhood, door to door tomorrow for Kerry campaign.

Over 450 volunteers attended!

Don't trust any poll. Many young voters here have no land lines. New registrations number in the 50K range and are massively democratic (significant in a state w/ 1 million registered voters). Volunteer efforts thus far have yielded 5 times the results of our opponents relatively meager attempts at mobilization.

Recruit your friends for election day activities (1800+ needed on Nov 2). We will win decisively here.

I see more Kerry then Bush stickers and yards signs, at least in the area where I work (Academy and Wyoming - if you live in Alb., you know what area I'm talking about). I was at a mattress store in that area on Saturday and the clerk was for Kerry, and I made the comment that perhaps most people in this area - being mostly elderly, and little more affluent - may be Republicans. He said that most people he had spoken to were Democrats. Of everyone where I work (11 people), only one is Republican, so my personal poll is in Kerry's favor for New Mexico. But I do think he will take New Mexico.

the military people are pissed. They know W wronged them and is going in the wrong direction.

it's obvious EVERY DAY....the republicans for Kerry, the Veterans for Kerry, the Women for Kerry, Environmentalist for Kerry.....EVERYONE in Virginia is going Kerry....with all the hard work to register NEW young voters, and NEW immigrant voters....congratulations Virginia....WE WILL PARTY IN THE STREETS on November 2....

it's getting real exciting now, after MONTHS of real hard work...you can see it and feel it...the "simmering majority" is awake and moving to the voting booth in GREAT numbers.....GO VIRGINIA, leading the South into a new era of peace and prosperity !!!!

PROUD to cast OUR 13 Electorial votes for John F. KERRY, President of the United States of America.....

I think we've got a great shot. The biggest wild card? The military vote. If Kerry makes significant inroads into the military vote, VA is definitely going blue.

This headline offers more encouragement.
CNN Poll: Troops, families question Iraq strategy
http://www.cnn.com/2004/ALLPOLITICS/10/16/military.poll2.ap/index.html

VA is trending blue, big time ...

http://www.electoral-vote.com/states/virginia.html

:smoke:

-Laelth

We're kicking ass and taking names. The turnout will be strong in NOVA. Can't find anyone (I know a lot of people) who is willing to stick up for Bush (including many tech-reflecive Repubs). Either silent or for Kerry. VA Victory 04, NOVA is extremely well organized and has more volunteers than they can handle from teens up through senior citizens. We'll rock the vote. Thank you for helping so much in Tidewarer. You are doing God's...er, Thomas Jefferson's work!

The election will be decided here. When Ohio goes for Kerry, it is over. We win it all.

Seems like he could have an impact.

That when NC goes for Kerry, pundits will only be looking to Ohio as a footnote ;-)

You are right - everything else will be just a footnote.

We shall see come Nov 2nd. :hi:

I work in a heavily GOP area (southwestern metro suburbs), and there are a very significant number of Kerry/Edwards lawnsigns and bumper stickers.

Pretty sad that all we can do is deliver MN for our guy, but I do feel good that we'll fullfill our part. :)

kerry is kicking ass:bounce:

Democrats are running very well here in all contests, to the point that the RNC is starting to cancel their last couple of weeks of ads for Governor and Senate races -- they're throwing in the towel.

I've seen a lot of Kerry/Edwards signs even in traditional Republican areas like Skagit County and Eastern Washington. My sister in Ephrata says Bush has angered a lot of people.

The primary was the first in WA to require declaring voters declare a party affiliation for the primary (something that WILL get overturned with a referendum, by all counts), but it provided some interesting data - Dems were solid blue through Seattle and much of the east side (except for a few yuppie enclaves near Microsoft land). Issaquah, the easternmost town in King County and a remarkably accurate bellweather for presidential elections for the last twenty years, was as blue as it could be. I don't know how the rest of the state is trending (though I've heard Spokane was blue as well), but Kerry WILL take Washington hands down.

I live near Seattle, but I went to visit a friend out east in Ellensberg this weekend. We walked around through the residental areas and I noticed about seven Kerry signs, but only one Bush sign.

Here's the kicker...I passed by the city's Republican HQ. They had a bunch of signs up in the window for Rossi, Nethercutt, and a bunch of local politicians, but they didn't have a Bush sign at all! I was pretty shocked!

As always, the DEMS take it in the Nutmeg State

Chester County, one of the five counties in the Philly metro area. ChesCo is reliably Rethuglican except for West Chester, the county seat and a college town, but the Democratic organizational effort here has been astounding - - tons of new registrations and canvassing events, et cetera. As far as anecdotal evidence, the total dearth of */Fascist yard signs and bumper stickers is amazing. The only signs you see are Kerry/Edwards. It's a beautiful thing. Finally, in the past several days, ads for Dumbass have unquestionably diminished, apparently confirming the rumored pullout.

Any poll or EV projection not reflecting PA for Kerry is a joke. It's a lock.

It doesn't get any closer here. Dead even most of the time. Things could really get interesting in this state if the proposition to divide the electoral votes gets passed. We could be the next Florida. I'm telling you, this is going to get ugly here.

And I wonder why it isn't coming up in more of those reports about how it will come down to 5 or 8 states.

Especially if that proposition passes.

You think people are figuring on the prop not passing and the state going red?

I do think the state will go to Kerry even without the prop, though I am scared Owens, etc., might cry voter registration fraud or some other BS to stall or co-opt it if it does turn blue.

for Kerry here.

In addition, Salazar has the Senate wrapped up. Coors is far behind.

*****
Salazar has the Senate wrapped up. Coors is far behind.
*****

People named Adolf make me nervous! (no offense intended to any good dems. named Adolf)

:smoke:

-Laelth

He's gaining momentum.

Kerry is trending blue in CO, and the Amendment 36 is leaning towards rejection. If that is the case, then CO is Kerry country. All 9 EVs.

I got this e-mail today:

Last Friday, I told you about an important strategy meeting taking place over the weekend. Now I want to report back about how that meeting went and how your efforts made all the difference.

Towards the end of every presidential campaign, strategists like me crowd into small conference rooms and huddle around spreadsheets with polling data and financial reports. We argue about the best course of action in key battleground states and then we argue with the finance guy about if we can afford it. These meetings usually involve a series of tough decisions guided as much by cash shortages as they are by strategy.

The meeting we had this weekend was different. Time and time again when we decided on the best strategy to win a state and turned to the finance guy his answer was "go for it." It was "go for it" because of the contributions you made just last week.

You deserve some specifics: At one point during the meeting, talk turned to Colorado. Many pundits thought this state was in the win column for George Bush. But polls show this is not the case -- we can win Colorado. We decided that we should be aggressive here and once again the answer was "go for it." On the night of November 2, when Colorado is called for John Kerry, know it was because of you.

I just wanted to say "thank you" -- you continue to make the difference.

Let's get it done,

Michael Whouley
General Election Strategist

Hopelessly Republican...

but some of us have indoor plumbing now.

it is so hopeless in Indiana. A handful of precincts in a handful of counties (like Monroe) will see Kerry do great - but those are far out weighed by all the rest. *sigh*

Thank God for IU in Monroe, Lawrence is hopeless...

INDIANA - 11 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 15.6 percentage points)

Oct. 10-12, 602 polled

(Results from September Research 2000 poll in parentheses)

--Bush-Cheney, 53 percent (54)

--Kerry-Edwards, 40 percent (38)

--Unsure/Other, 7 percent (8)

"Hopelessly Republican...

but some of us have indoor plumbing now."


Sad but true...

The plumbing part that is.

for the laugh. That was a good one. Wish I could send some of your next door neighbors here in IL to even things out for y'all...

Keep the faith. We WILL prevail overall.

Peace,
AL

what makes them so red...

here in TX its 2 issues.

1)machismo -- they will vote for whoever will kill more people

2) the absolute biggest is abortion. no candidate supporting abortion will ever overcome the fundi vote

as far as I can tell.


Many seem to be fearful that they will lose their right to arm themselves with the largest cannon money can buy.

Very much against abortion, stem-cell research, gay rights.

Absolutely refuse to acknowledge the possibility that the War in Iraq was a mistake. Because anyone that does is a Leftist-Liberal who does not support the troops.

No problem with pollution, as long as it benefits big business...because they only relate the "cost" to money, not to any effects of that pollution. And to illustrate how ignorant many of them are, there is no global warming, because Indiana had a cooler summer than normal.

They seem to think that if an individual has problems, be they financial, physical, mental, substance abuse...blah, blah, blah, that their family should all chip in and help them out. That's a real heart-warming scenario. But those of us that don't live in the Bush/Bizarro world realize that not all families are able to do that.

And, last but not least...they all belong to the "If you're not with us, you're against us club".

I could go on and on....Now, aren't you glad you asked?

I phone banked with a lady from Indiana last night....and I live in Las Vegas.

I'm sure seeing a lot of Kerry signs/bumperstickers! It's truly amazing, and I live in one of THE most conservative districts. There's more Kerry/Kernan signs here than Bush/Daniels. Only seen 2 Bush signs in my town! Of course, many don't put them out because they assume they don't have to. :) we shall see....

I know that Evan Bayh is somewhat of a DINO but I find it amazing that his seat is completely safe in a state like Indiana. On top of having another safe dem seat in the caucus, it REALLY pisses of the Repukes that they can't win that seat.

It looks really good here, right now, especially where I live. But we have some Sinclair stations around here, and that sucks. But Kerry is running strong.

After talking around...

Waterloo is pure blue, then Ames, Iowa city, C Rapids, Davenport and Demoise covering most of eastern IA are strong blue. Amis villagers should be blue if vote. Not checking minor western side at Council Bluff. Could be surprise 8+

My prediction for this year is 8-9% for Bush. Too damn many Bible-thumpers and yuppie war-mongers.

I don't get how it's so hopelessly Republican now-a-days.

There's been a marked increase in the vocalness of the fundamentalists. Six Flags Over Jesus (Southeast Christian Church) is now open in the east-end of Louisville and it holds about 10,000 of 'em

rotflmao!!!! Can I use that?

:)

We have a couple of prominent Democrats actually endorsing Louisville congressperson repuke Ann Northup. And, despite the rumors of repuke Sen. Bunning's health problems, there's no way the idiots around here won't vote for him.

However, I seem to be seeing more Kerry bumperstickers than * ones these days. But, I agree * will win by about 10 points.

I really think Mongiardo is going to pull off a win here.

Sadly though, I think that Bush will carry Kentucky.

Although Kentucky would be useful in such a close election I'd probably rather see us get a new dem senator from an unexpected place. That would be awesome.

Bunning has went from a 21 point lead in May, to a 17 point lead in September... less than a week ago that lead had shredded to 9 points, then 6 and now new polls out today have them locked up.

The momentum is definitely on Mongiardo's side.

.

I'd say Kerry is going to have a better turnout here than most would expect... it'll at least get the popular vote count up.

MN...There are twice as many Kerry signs in the small rural town I live in. A very good sign for Kerry.

:hi:
Be sure to check out Minnesota boards.
The key will be to GET OUT THE VOTE. Still too many Bush signs around Minnesota. The Iron Range looks solid in Kerry's camp. If you can judge by lawn signs it's about 10 to one up there.

when compared to the 2000 campaign.

I think the only polling firm that doesn't think Kerry will win PA is Strategic Vision. :-)

This is a moderate state, so the fact that it's so sure to go for Kerry is a good sign.

Phila and Allegheny Cty. (Pittsburgh)will have extremely heavy turnout and will offset the Alabama part of the state. Blacks are really pissed off at Bushco - those of us who've been active have pressed hard - I as a white Jewish Doc pressing blacks and Hispanics to vote Kerry takes their breath away - it's the last thing they think they'll hear and they're really impressed when I insisted that they register all their family over 18 without fail and vote Dem straight - and not to listen to the Specter BS. Some of Specter's staff are pts. of mine and I had to be a little careful around them but for everyone else: Full Speed Ahead and we're going Blue.

Do recall that 4 years ago as our idiot former guv Thornburgh predicted a Bush win on CBS to Dan Rather, he announced PA for Gore. Thornburgh said ALMOST EXACTLY WHAT BUSH SAID IN THAT HOTEL ROOM ABOUT FLORIDA. I turned to my wife and said, "Ruh Ro".

This time we're sweeping...

We went out Route 22 towards central PA to Interstate 99. I counted 29 Kerry/Edwards signs to 4 Shrub signs. Woo-hoo! Indiana County had K/E signs all over the place. It was great to see.

Why do many of the most intelligent people here care about the hidden truth of 9/11?

Because it's the only thing would take the Bush/Cheney regime out and give Democrats here a chance!

And it WOULD work too...people are sceptical about the Government here, and when the Government doesn't have truth on it's side the opposition party can just bring those facts to folks attention. There's not nearly so much psychological resistance as the corporate media would like you to imagine. I've found this out from experience.

BTW, Mike Moore's Fahrenheit 9/11 was enormously popular here. If Moore instead of Kerry was the canidate, the Dems might have scored a surprise win in Kansas!

Once again, can't find a soul who likes Bush. Cant' find anyone who isn't furious. But we are sadly red.
Tons of Kerry signs, hardly any Bush signs.

Except the car with Bush/Cheney sticker followed by the predictable
yellow ribbon/red white and blue ribbon support our troos sticker and a jesus fish sign.

nt

I'm fearful that 1992 was the last time we'll go blue for some while. Keep fighting!

I'm from Dekalb County and we will be going 70% Kerry!
Mckinney will also be our congresswoman again!

I was talking to a Jewish friend of mine who says he'll never vote for McKinney again. What's that all about? He also said that the Jewish community won't vote for Majette because they feel betrayed by her (in his opinion, it was the Jewish community that voted in Majette to get rid of McKinney). Anybody know anything about this?

Sounds painfully like New York to me. Two core democratic constituencies (African-Americans and Jews) fighting against one another and aiding the Republicans in the process.

:hurts:

-Laelth

If whoever the libertarian candidate was would get as much press as Nadar, then Kerry could win this state. I think those libertarian ideals appeal to lots of suburban southerners who don't care about guns or god or gays, they just want low taxes and the freedom to do whatever they want in their own homes.

Another thought is we need all the poor people to vote. But they'll probably stay home as usual. Although Majette should help gotv.

A lot of people should care about Georgia. That 2002 election was a trial for rip off there trying now.

You just KNOW she's gonna run. She ought to be run out of town on a rail for hopping in bed with Diebold. Surely there's someone better to challenge Sonny in 2006?

I admit, I don't understand her donating state money to the Republican party via Diebold, but I still think her heart is in the right place ... and I think she would be a strong candidate.

(btw, greetings, fellow Georgians!)

-Laelth

but we're not giving up on the future. Lots of yard signs for Kerry I've seen here in Macon. We're actively letting people know that it's OK to be a democrat in the heart of red country.

And the Majette/Isackson race for the Senate will be a lot closer than the latest polls indicate. Poor Denise has gotten very little support from the national party, but she's fighting like a trooper. Very impressed with her, honestly.

-Laelth

and her voting record in the house rocks! Very liberal. There's hope for this state yet. I'm tired of GA dems. who might as well be republicans. :puke:

-Laelth

Bush 51, Kerry 41, Nader 0 (Zogby, 10/13-10/15, 503 LV)
That's probably about right. Slowly trending Kerry, but not enough to catch up (this time).

Senate:
Isackson (R) 53, Majette (D) 35 (Zogby, 10/13-10/15, 503 LV)
That's absurd! She'll pull at least 43%, I'd wager.

GA 03
Marshall (D) 53, Clay (R) 24 (Mellman, 10/3-10/5, 400 LV)
That's equally absurd. Marshall is in a tough fight, here. Clay and the R's have put a significant amount of money into this race.

That's what I've seen, anyway. :smoke:

-Laelth


Edit:Laelth-fixed typo.

Republicans? What Republicans?

It's Kerry all the way. Though Bush will certainly get more than a few votes from the more conservative downstaters. Of course we will also be replacing a Repub Senator with the Democratic Obama.

Oh and our Democratic governor is negotiating drug prices for bulk importations from Canada and other countries. LOL.

It's not so bad living here.

that's how we should be in PA BUT...the thing to remember about the Keystone State is that we have more towns and villages than any other state in the US. I believe that this is still true - my father was a postal worker and sorted mail - Texas scheme, actually, and he said only PA has more towns and sectional centers. Things are sorted differently now but we are small town, USa other than Phial, Pitts., Scranton-WB. Gun totin' rednecks - God bless 'em.

Kerry ahead...* ahead...no now Kerry

It is exhausting in Ohio now

I've been trying to find some current data and after looking at 11 different sites, I give up.

Exhausting is a good word for Buckeye polls.

But we're working as hard as we can (our own version of "it's hard work"). Sen. Kerry is coming to Dayton on Tuesday, 10/19, and we'll be there, screaming and shouting for the good guys.

Louisiana will probably not go to Kerry but our efforts in getting people to vote democratic are a big deal in this state. We need to keep Louisiana blue in state elections so that eventaully we will be blue again in national elections. Besides, it's so entertaining to see the Republicans all pissed off when they don't win statewide elections in a deep southern state.

while it would be nice to win every battle, the battles fought well and hard help lead to an overall victory, bless you for doing the heavy lifting in what has to at times be a discouraging situation. This is one northerner that appreciates your efforts, because in the end, we all are Americans.

Media (esp KDKA radio and TV) are pro-Bush/anti-Kerry.

Could be, theoretically speaking. Our Electoral Vote has never been split before so I would be (very pleasantly) surprised.

Just by judging yard signs, Nancy Thompson (D) has easily outnumbered Lee Terry (R) signs (Silly Bush refers to him as Terry Lee). Kerry/Edward signs, I'm seeing about a 10:1 ratio.

Wu really shot himself in the foot on the Medicare thing. Now his opposition has managed to dig up some 20-year old sex scandal from his college days to use against him. Very difficult situation.

than ANY GOoPer!! Wu will pull it out. We'll know by the end of the week when a poll comes out.

Kerry will definitely win (despite some never heard of before poll recently that is about 10% out of whack with other polls).

Bush had one last rally here in Central Point, a town of about 2,000 in Freeper land. Reports had it that to attend you had to 1. be a registered Rethuglican, 2. promise in writing to vote for B/C, 3. write an essay about how Bush is such a great president! Man, what a bunch of sissies!

I've finished off 70 GOTV letters to OH, NV, FL, and now working on a hundred GOTV reminders to OH and NV. See http://themmob.com!

http://www.progressiveomaha.com/

If Lincoln went to Kerry, couldn't that be 2 electoral votes?

http://www.progressiveomaha.com/

If Lincoln went to Kerry, couldn't that be 2 electoral votes?

We may be Florida again . Turn out among Blacks and non Cuban Hispanics will be crucial . Jeb and Katherine's successor Glenda Hood are working overtime to suppress the vote . There is no telling what LePore will do in Palm Beach County , since she has been defeated but remains in office for this election . The Kerry Team needs to be prepared to take these thugs to court and win this time .

I read they have about 2,000 lawyers working pro bono for Kerry.

Absolutely crucial that there's huge turnout in FL. How mad are people from the 2000 fiasco?

Registered Dems 4.1 million

Registered Repugs 3.4 million
If we get all the voters out, we can easily win this'

"Counteth all the votes correctly this time, and I will lift thy plague of hurricanes."

While I was there I talked to dozens of people, all walks of life and I was truly shocked at the loathing they have for that man. I really didn't think anyone could hate him as much as my fellow canuckers. Love that city!!!!

and it's supposedly for us that this was all done.

Not in our name, thank you very much.



p.s. I lived in Buffalo for a few years, right across from the Peace Bridge. Liked Toronto - hoping to visit Vancouver soon. I hear it's awesome.

but no place rocks like NYC. We have gone there twice in the last 2 months (its only a 1hr flight), but alas we won't be back unless democracy is restored in America.

In the Houston area, the number of Chimp/Cheney signs is way, way lower from last time. The wingnuts around here will all still vote Chimperor, but they aren't going to proclaim it publicly. They know he's a miserable failure, but he is a "conservative".

If Kerry had resources to burn, he could actually make more of a race of it. Since he has limited resources, it's smart just to let this cowturd of a state flop where it will.

maybe we can get close to the swing category ;)

As you all probably know, Maryland is going for Kerry. We are sometimes knicknamed the 'People' Republic of Maryland." There were some BS polls out that showed Maryland being tied. What BS. Kerry will easily win here.

On a personal note, I am super excited to vote for Kerry. I'll be at the polling place before it opens.

- David

:hi:

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

I was out canvassing occasional Dem voters yesterday and they were all like "Of course, I'll be there. Yeah, I'm voting for Kerry." The Repubs have given up and the Dems aren't taking anything for granted, so I think Kerry will trounce *. Paving the way for getting rid of Erlich.

Most recent poll shows Kerry down by 2 points (49-47). Poll was done by Survey USA, concluding October 4th.

My experience canvassing in the Kansas City area is positive. We call on voters who were previously put down as undecided. They are going well better than 2 to 1 for Kerry.

But, the other side is not standing still. Judging by yard signs, I think the fundies are behind a stealth GOTV effort.

area that spawned Rush Limpballs?

I haven't seen any polls has anyone else?

Wife and I went to see Michael Moore last night. About 8-9K paid $5 to see MM. The day before, only 5K showed up to see a sitting president at the same venue. Also, even with repug voter registration fraud, Dems outnumber repugs for the first time in the state's history. NV going blue!

GOTV there big time folks!!! Work, work, work!! We need all the EVs we can muster.

My son wasn't able to get an absentee ballot in Nevada, so you'll be missing one Kerry vote from him. He's on a ship at sea and most of his crew mates have nothing good to say about GW. I hope the rest of them got their ballots ok.

Last time I was out there, it was scary how right-wing the newscasts were compared with Chicago (where I am from). I didn't think there was a chance in hell NV could go blue. Wow!

I was phone banking tonight and they said that the Repugs have the $, but we have the grass roots organization. We'll take all the help you can give!

I think Kerry will take the state. There are pockets of resistance, but overall, this state has been the biggest loser of manufacturing jobs.

We've got Michael Moore on our side, and our Governor Granholm is a Democrat who will likely help bring the votes for Kerry.

the support for Kerry here is HUGE in the western side of the state..of course its conserivtive and we see bush signs and stickers everywhere but never have I seen as many dem signs and stickers...many of our LTTE are bashing Bush...and PRO kerry...I think MI will be blue...I can't see it shifting to red from 2000??? we have lost SO many jobs--its been rough the last 3 1/2 years

:)

From a fellow NYer! :hi:

Kerry all the way!

we haven't seen the likes of anybody in a long time...Looks like Bush has set up house in Florida...

It looks pretty bleak here in OK (yes, I know I have a Texas flag avatar; that's because I'm from Texas and I'm a orange-blooded fan of the Texas Longhorns). Kerry's showing in the Oklahoma polls is about as bad as it is in Texas (about 62 - 37 percent).

However, I've seen quite a few Kerry signs around my current city of Norman, OK. Kerry has a much greater presence here than Gore did in 2000. Sad to say, though, we have one less Kerry sign around here. SOME STUPID FREEPER STOLE MY KERRY SIGN FROM MY FRONT LAW THIS EVENING!!!

Well, maybe that's a good sign (pardon the pun)...maybe the Freepers are worried about a surprise Kerry showing in the polls here next month.

We'll keep fighting the good fight.

LHJ

That's a great line. I need to use it more often around here. It probably is the right descriptive of the morons who stole my Kerry sign.

I imagine that "up the turnpike" refers to Tulsa.

Thanks.

LHJ

My Kerry sign has been knocked down twice, torn up and stolen. Funny thing, since I put up signs for all the democratic candidates it has been left alone.

Surely your part of the state does not have quite as many religious kooks as we have here.

More Carson than Coburn signs here.

...in the Norman area.

I've been seeing about an even number of Carson signs in my part of town, compared to Coburn.

Funny thing, though. When my Kerry sign was stolen last night, the thief (or thieves) didn't take my Carson for Senate sign.

I've read reports that Carson has taken a 3-point lead in the polls over the weekend. I'm hoping he can hold on. I'd really like to see Sen. Frist get moved to the "Senate Minority Leader" section of the Capitol next year. I'm so tired of that pompous, partisan ass.

Let's keep our fingers crossed and keep fighting the good fight.:bounce:

LHJ

considered to be moving up or moving down? Or "don't ask?"

Just kidding :)

:). I see many more Kerry/Carson/other dem signs that *, Coburn signs here in Stillwater. My superstitions are getting the best of me though as I'm convinced that T A&M beat Ok State last night because Tom "I'm psychotic" Coburn was at our game!

Good one, Cosmic!

Depending on how you look at it, moving to OK from TX can be bad or good. It's bad from the view that there is not much quality education or entertainment in OK as compared to Texas.

But, from another point of view, it's not bad, considering OK has a Democratic governor and legislature (although the GOP is fighting like mad to control the state House). Compared to the near-stranglehold that the GOP has in Texas, living here isn't all that bad.

Thanks for asking, though.:hi:

LHJ

As you would expect there are positives and negatives with both.

I do think that the economy and employment opportunities are better in Texas than in Oklahoma though. I worked in Dallas and was recruited to a position in Tulsa and was laid off along with about thirty percent of my co-workers about a year later. Still unemployed nearly two years later. There are businesses leaving Tulsa because it makes more economic sense to be elsewhere - and what replacement jobs there are are mostly call centers. Tulsa has had problems losing its oil and gas and aerospace businesses for at least the last twenty years. Of course, finding employment is hard just about everywhere these days.

Moving from Texas to Oklahoma is definitely not moving up. In my case there are non-monetary personal quality of life issues that make it something other than a step down. Even so, I'm ready to find a greener pasture.

Kerry may be hopeless in your state but the democratic party isn't. Get Carson in the US Senate.

Home of Dean -- it's Kerry/Edwards all the way!
Today we drove from Rutland to Burlington. Lots of signs for local politicians. It's about a two hour drive one way. I saw only 2 signs for B/C on the entire roundtrip.

We have Leahy and Sanders up for re-election. They'll win handily.
Leahy's t-shirts say something to the effect: Really Piss Off Cheney - Re-Elect Leahy. (don't think it said "piss off"; just can't think of exact wording, altho made me laugh)

And... we don't need no stinkin' voting machines...
All hand written ballots, baby!

Its going to be a Bush blowout, as usual

Maybe you guys can pull a dem senate victory.

We've lost so many jobs here in Michigan. A Bush victorey in this Gore state would shock me.

Democrats are not well organized here, but that is the nature of Democrats. Out State Missouri, (Not Kansas City, St. Louis) seems to get little attention. Many strong Democrats are feeling abandoned in out state Missouri. If Missouri goes Republican the only people you can blame are Democrats and lack of organization.

An example I walked into Democratic Headquarters in Jefferson City last month looking for a Kerry sticker. There were at least five people in the office. I was ignored. I left and no one took my name or asked me if I even wanted to make a contribution. I had three hundred dollars in my pocket. Democrats now have that money, but not in Jefferson City.

I live in St. Louis and agree, local Dems have never been very organized. I don't understand the decision to "drop" MO from the battleground status because the last poll I saw had Kerry within 2 pts. MO is very much in play!

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

has Shrub with only a 2 point lead:

Bush 49, Kerry 47, Nader 0 (SUSA, 10/2-10/4, 683 LV)
That looks like a Kerry victory to me--just ready to happen.

Clinton won MO in 1992 and 1996, remember. MO should be a blue state! Keep up the good work in MO.

:smoke:

-Laelth

If we can get out our vote in the cities, we'll win. That simple.

From the canvassing I've done in KC, we're even picking up some moderate Republicans. We've apparently also picked up some surprising support: I knocked on a door Saturday that had a huge sticker on it saying, "This home has a gun inside; there's nothing here worth stealing to give your life for". I was a little apprehensive knocking on the door of a potential freeper with a gun.

Big freeper-looking guy answered the door. I started my spiel and he cut me off, saying that he's voting for Kerry, then went into a rampage against Bush (whom he'd voted for in 2000). The reason? Ashcroft and the Patriot Act. He even asked me for a bumper sticker.

MO is still in play.

Thanks for fighting the good fight! I think I would have avoided that door. ;)

:toast:

-Laelth

and 99% of the people we talk to are strong Kerry supporters. I am surprised at the number of people who just detest *.

And moveon is just swamped with new volunteers every day. Over 30,000 in MO alone.

before you laugh, registered democrats outnumber registered republicans nearly 3 to 1 here in this state. Our now Governor Kathleen Blanco was believed to be double digits behind Republican front runner Bobby Jindal just days before the election. Voter Registration numbers are at or higher than they have been in any election cycle since David Duke ran for Governor here.

Based on my voter registration experience, democrats and "none"/anti-bush are registering at a rate of 9 to 1 (if not more). People are energized and excited about participating in this election and getting Bush out of office.

The citizens of Louisiana are generally suspicious of any and all politicians, and rightfully so.

Clinton took LA in 1992 and 1996. Admittedly, latest poll shows shrub with a 15 point lead, but that's absurd. Anyway, you folks have another one of your 3 candidate, nail-biter Senate races going on, don't you? That ought to bring a lot of dems. to the polls (or does everyone just wait to vote in the run-off, cuz that's the vote that matters?)

LOL. Gotta love LA! :toast:

-Laelth


Edit:Laelth-fixed typo.

I'm not counting Kerry out of an LA win, but I think that * has the upper hand. Regardless, we need to keep democrats winning in statewide races and eventually make this state blue again for future presidential races. We need to get those 3 to 1 registered democrats to vote democratic again. BTW although I think that Blanco is pretty much a DINO, I was very happy to see her run tasteless attack ads on Jindal. If the Repukes aren't going to keep it clean then there's absolutely no reason that we should.

I am drowning in :puke: REPUKES here.... :scared: We have 3 Kerry signs in our small town of Troy and they all belong to our family! Mine was taken out and stomped on a week ago. So I put up two more! My brother and I have been passing around F9/11 to all our redneck friends and I swayed a * voter at work. I asked he why she was voting for IT. She said because of the Lesbo Cheney daughter remark Special K said. So I begged her to watch F9/11 before she voted. So maybe I am gaining some headway!? :shrug:

Hey, don't get down too much. Those of us keeping an eye out are impressed with Kathleen Sibelius getting into office and Dennis Moore hanging on. They asked H.L. Mencken once why he stayed in the U.S. if he despised so much of it, and he asked them: why do people go to zoos?....

And that story with the train stops in Kansas that K/E stopped at and the crowds of thousands were waiting at at early hours of the morning in July or August, that's going to be the enduring bit about Kansas in this election.

So hang in there...the Christian Right is getting close to the end of the line nationally and we'll start seeing them fade all over in the next couple of years. And come visit us every now and then and get out of Where The Wild Things Are for a little bit.... :-)

I'm tired of this state going red. Twenty years of voting and always red.

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

Well, I'd say he's doing very good, considering I live in his opponent's backyard (Texas). The Democratic Party is experiencing a rebirth in the state, I think, largely because of the current campaign. I don't think * has to worry about losing his home state, but the machinery of the Democratic Party is enthusiastically being rebuilt after several years of decline.

It will be tight but I think it will go blue just like the last election!There is major Kerry support from unions here!

It's hopeless in this state (this election cycle), which is why I was in New Mexico for several weeks helping out there.

New Mexico is much more liberal than Texas I would have to say, and Kerry has a good chance there.

Still it's really split down the middle because Southern NM is right wing, and Northern New Mexico is more liberalish.

I'm hoping to head to Nevada next to help out there.

Oh, and Austin (LBJ's old home) is liberal as usual. It was nice seeing all the anti-Bush bumper stickers when I came back.


:)

Texas used to be solidly liberal-Democratic when California was conservative, and now the two states have reversed.

Virginia used to be solidly Republican, and now Kerry is within a few points of Bush there and the state has a Democrat governor.

So, things always change.

Welcome to DU!! :toast:

Thanks for the welcome!!!!

Recent polls have shown Kerry ahead by 6-7 points, when some earlier polls had it 15-20 ahead. I see at least 20-25 Kerry/Edwards signs or anti-Bush signs for every 1 Bush/Cheney sign. No exaggeration.

So, I'm not sure if these polls have been Galluped, though, meaning they have been over-weighted with Republicans.

I'm in CT and sense much greater support for Kerry. Even in my Republican town there is a fair amount of discontent. Many towns are split pretty evenly between Dems, Repubs and Unaffiliated. The unafilliated seem to be heavily in support of Kerry.

We have a surprisingly close rece in the 2nd district for the House. Jim Sullivan (Dem) has low name recognition compared to Simmons (incumbenrt R), and is almost tied in the polls. According to Uconn it is because the district is 62% Kerry.

I think Nutmeggers are fed up.

I'm worried.

Next November,Gifford Miller for Mayor of New York City

I fully expect Gov Benson to be thrown out as well.

.......I am getting little help in my area...lots of door knockin to do... Overwhelmed...so if anyone in Johnson county want to help? I sure could use it!

What part of Iowa is Johnson County in?'

I am curious, have the Omaha World Herald's incessant Swift Boat rantings and stupid Koterba cartoons had an effect in Iowa? The World Herald's endorsement - big surprise - was so lame, like anyone cares what they think.

If it wasn't for their high school sports coverage that rag would not even be allowed in my house.

Iowa city area! :-)

Nebraska is about as Red State as you can get, and that is what gives me real hope. Lincoln's congressional district could very possibly go Kerry, giving him 1 of Nebraska's 5 electoral votes.

More areas could follow, the split for Bush statewide will be much smaller than last time around. There is a lot of discontent and anger toward Bush/Cheney, even out here in western Nebraska, which is the reddest part of the state.

I am heartened by the fact that knowing how Red State Nebraska is, other less right-leaning, more moderate states the GOP thinks are in the bag just might not be.

I have a friend who is a devout Evangelical fundamentalist who recently switched parties from Repug to Dem, and several family members who voted Bush or Nader last time are going Kerry in 04.

My two kids who are in college and who were not old enough to vote in 2000 have already voted Kerry by absentee ballot. They took some crap - disguised as good-natured teasing - in our little Class D high school (ie enrollment of under 120) for not being Right Wingers, from friends, teachers and administration.

I am one proud mom.

I don't think we'll really make a difference in the General Election unless the lawyers have to get involved.

District 2 (Omaha) is very blue, and just across the river from Iowa. If Iowa goes blue and District 2 goes blue and we're still short on Electoral Votes, there will be grounds for argument that Nebraska's EV should be split citing Regional interests.

Hope it doesn't come down to that. But I'm ready for a fight here!

My in-laws in Western Nebraska HATE Bush. First election in my 26 years of marriage that I know they are voting Democrat! Yay!

If the 1st and 2nd congressional districts in Nebraska could both go Blue, that would create a major split. Those two combined easily outnumber the 3rd District populace, which will still go Bush, however reluctantly.

Still, if Lincoln and Omaha both deliver for Kerry, both congressional districts carry one EV each and together they would carry the state's popular vote, adding 2 more EVs, leaving just 1 EV from outstate Nebraska for Bush.

Damn I hope your right about Omaha. I hadn't heard that.

All the polling data indicates we're a bit behind here, but if organization and enthusiasm count for anything, along with new voter registrations, we should improve on Al Gore's 46% (Chimpy got 52, rest Nader, etc.)

Ralph isn't on the ballot this year. The Libertarian is, and should poll at least 1%, maybe 2, mostly from Chimpy.

We're hopeful enough that we're all working hard. Organizing conventions for GOTV are being held all over the place now. If you're a registered Democrat here, you've been pestered constantly and we will drag you, kicking and screaming if necessary, to the polls.

I'll have a better feeling for this as we get closer, but AZ might -- just might -- be the upset of the evening on Nov. 2.

Polls say * in a landslide. Local news say its neck and neck. I know i have seen alot more kerry bumper stickers than for *. Go Figure.
git ur done

In MS I don't really have a feel for it... strange but I don't. The ARG poll of last month had it a lot closer than I would've figured... * was only polling 51% in that poll, but Kerry was at 42. I see about an equal number of bumper stickers for each, but I am in a college town--albeit one that went red in 2000. I just haven't seen much polling. The big issue here has been the fat pig of a Governor cutting Medicaid rolls. Didn't go over well and didn't go through.

I've convinced two R's to vote for Kerry and may soon get a third.... a moderate Repub cousin on the coast with a Dem husband and one draft-age son. This week I plan to volunteer to work on the college campus distributing Kerry material. Anything's better than sitting at this desk fretting over BS polls. (I think this thread tells the truth!)

My gut call is that we go * but that Kerry gets close to 45 percent. I will be very surprised if he doesn't get 40 percent. Gore got 40 percent in this state and I think that everywhere, nationwide, there is much more anger and disappointment with this regime.

NEVER let anyone convince you that your vote doesn't matter! Even in a state that's seemingly a "lock" for one candidate or the other. Even if the GOP carries your state, if their margin is much less than they expected, it will make them worry! (Likewise for blue states... don't let the GOP even think that it's making inroads.) THAT is the kind of difference your vote will make in a "solid" state.

Hello fellow Mississippian :hi:

I know that the latest electoral college map reflected that MS was pink and not a definite red.

I have not seen any B/C signs and lots of Kerry signs. More Kerry bumper stickers than B/C too. The circuit clerks say that 6500 new voters registered in Harrison Co - 2500 in Jackson Co. - 300 in George Co. and 400 in Hancock Co so if the trend that new voters want a change, then that is a good sign from down here.

I am hoping and praying that we will surprise the nation! Can blame me for that.

Kerry/Edwards in a landslide!

...and this area is pretty much a GOP stronghold.

Seems to be all Bush, but I know several teachers who have expressed extreme displeasure for NCLB, so maybe I'm just getting the wrong vibe. This time around there are no B/C signs in my neighborhood and few on my side of town.

What local news is saying neck and neck, KBlagburn? I think most of the polls I've seen have Bush ahead by about 10, which is a much smaller lead than I expected actually. I have hope the Dems will go out in huge numbers. They pretend we don't exist down here, so it'll be a nice shock locally lol.

Arkansas - I think we have a shot at winning. Locals are working hard even if the limelight has left us. I'm hoping Kerry or Edwards make one swing back through the state and ... if his health is good, Clinton does something (voice ad?).

I heard the Big Dog was gonna give an appearance or two in his home state just before the election. Or did I dream that? Either way, his health is our primary concern, but it sure would feel good to hear him give a KE supporting speech right before we go clobber shrub at the polls.

-Laelth

Bush clobbered Gore here four years ago. I don't think Kerry has enough momentum to win here, but he probably won't lose by 15 points; maybe seven or eight. He'll defintely win Louisville/Jefferson County, where I'm at, and probably Lexington/Fayette, but there are an awful lot of Hatfield and McCoy rural voters who love that macho Bush crap. There is no shortage of city-billies either.

I think the state does have a better chance of picking up a Democratic rep, and maybe Jim Bunning's Senate seat.

...up in the hills, and they've had it with the Chimp's "macho crap". Dad lives in Huntington and he's seen a big change toward Kerry over the last year.

and I haven't ruled it out. But it would be totally unexpected.

It is surprising that the momentum seems to be for Kerry. I sure wish this state would turn blue. I'm crossing my fingers. I live in a very pug part of town; the Kerry signs are not all over, but the B/C signs are almost non-existent. It's the same with bumper stickers. Maybe someone could comment on other areas in Louisiana. Also, at the University (ULL) there is huge support for Kerry. Check in people in the Northern areas. Also, I believe that there are a large amount of closet Kerryites. As it is everywhere in this country right now, former * supporters are either ashamed or afraid to admit they're not voting for *.