Internal Numbers Favor Kerry...BIG TIME!

jefferson_dem

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:11 PM
Original message

Internal Numbers Favor Kerry...BIG TIME!

Check out these Kerry-friendly internal numbers from the latest Newsweek poll, released yesterday :

1. Independents favor Kerry/Edwards by 11 points, 51-40.

2. First-time voters favor Kerry/Edwards by 21, 57-36.

3. Early voters favor Kerry/Edwards by 9, 52-43.

4. Young voters (18-29) favor Kerry/Edwards by 9, 50-40, and seniors (65+) favor Kerry/Edwards by 15, 54-39.

5. Men favor K/E by 50-46 and women favor Bush-Cheney by 49-43.

Detailed analysis at http://www.emergingdemocraticmajorityweblog.com/donkeyrising/

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NMDemDist2

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:14 PM
Response to Original message

1. woohoo that makes my day n/t

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WMliberal

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:14 PM
Response to Original message

2. wtf. men favor K/E and women B/C?

do you (or they) have it backwards?

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eriffle

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:17 PM
Response to Reply #2

5. no, i remeber

looking at that poll and writing it off as fud because of that fact. Soccer moms and security moms.....geez....look if Al Qaeda takes Podunk County Ohio, they can have it in my opinion.

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PROGRESSIVE1

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:19 PM
Response to Reply #5

8. I like your MasterCard Parody!

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jefferson_dem

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:18 PM
Response to Reply #2

6. That gender breakdown makes absolutely no sense at all!

Here's what Ruy Teixeira says -

Huh? Boy, I had to look over those gender breakdown data several times to make sure I wasn't seeing things. And I'm still not sure they didn't somehow mislabel their categories. But if they didn't, it's certainly a head-scratcher. Perhaps they not only oversampled Republicans in general but Republican women in particular. Who knows.

It's also interesting to note that, even with a Republican-leaning sample, the poll still gives Bush only 47 percent approval rating, basically the same as he received in their last poll. And his re-elect number, at 47 percent, is also about what he received previously.

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IIgnoreNobody

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:44 PM
Response to Reply #2

13. Subsamples can be deceptive

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PROGRESSIVE1

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:15 PM
Response to Original message

3. I don't believe that women favor Bushler over JK!

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Guaranteed

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:16 PM
Response to Original message

4. Holy crap...the SENIOR vote...

SO, SO important.

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jefferson_dem

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:24 PM
Response to Reply #4

10. Yep. And with the "january surprise" of SS privaritzation scheme

that Kerry's gonna wrap around Chimp's neck, the senior set will be ours even more.

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necso

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:18 PM
Response to Original message

7. I don't

Edited on Sun Oct-17-04 09:27 PM by necso

know if these are the true internals, as in, reflecting Party internals.

But, normally, you avoid releasing internals -- because these might provide your opponent with information that he does not have -- and then can use.

This is war, folks. And we don't have to fight much longer. -- And you don't give away Intel, unless you are forced to for some (strange) reason.

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jefferson_dem

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:21 PM
Response to Reply #7

9. This is war for sure! Newsweek is just providing whatever ammo sides

can use.

http://www.prnewswire.com/cgi-bin/micro_stories.pl?ACCT=617800&TICK=NEWS&STORY=/www/story/10-16-2004/0002278565&EDATE=Oct+16,+2004

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sonicx

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:25 PM
Response to Original message

11. the impossible gender split alone means the poll is garbage

Edited on Sun Oct-17-04 09:25 PM by sonicx

in addition to too many republicans

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NewYorkerfromMass

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Sun Oct-17-04 09:31 PM
Response to Original message

12. Independents. Stop right there

that's the whole show. Kerry is winning this thing HUGE.
The early voter number is also in line with it.
Looks like landslide.

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