First - for those thinking that Zogby wants Bush to win, see
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=view_all&address=102x912711 --
Zogby publicly predicted a KERRY WIN on Friday. He posted this prediction (along with criticism of Bush) on his site late last night.:kick:
Now -- to the story:
https://interactive.zogby.com/clickon/products.dbm"To bring Ronald Reagan into this picture: 'There they go again’. Kerry had a good day on Sunday.
If I were to factor in the leaners in the 3-day track, it would be Kerry 47.2% to Bush 46.6%. I’m not sure it’s wise to put leaners in the equation at this point in the campaign because it is artificial -- but that is how close all of this is proving to be.
"This is, as I have said before, the same kind of roller coaster ride we saw in 2000 with the lead changing back and forth and neither candidate able to open up any kind of lead.
"Kerry is back to consolidating his support among Democrats, 82%-11%, and
now holds a 44%-37% lead among Independents (who still have 14% undecided)....
"Kerry now has a 4 point lead among Catholics (Gore won this group by 5 in 2000). There is a continued lack of evidence that Bush is making any headway among Jewish voters (a small sub-sample, but the average of all days of polling throughout the year and in this round does not reveal
any Bush progress).
"Interestingly, there is no likeability gap. Both men have near identical ratings.”
Zogby International conducted interviews of 1211 likely voters chosen at random nationwide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from October 15 through October 17, 2004. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Slight weights were added to region, party, age, race, religion, gender, to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.
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Details:
President
Bush’s favorable rating has dropped a point from 55% to 54%. His disapproval numbers have risen from 43% to 45%. Senator
Kerry’s ratings continue to hold at 53% favorable and 45% unfavorable-- where they have been for several days. ...
The President’s overall job performance rating dropped 2 points from a day ago.
(Note: Now 45% approve, 55% disapprove.)The right track/wrong track numbers are virtually unchanged from yesterday.
(45%) continue to say the country is headed the right way, while 48% say the country is headed on the wrong track. Mr. Bush’s re-elect numbers slipped a bit overnight, with support for his
re-election holding steady at 46% and those calling for someone new increasing by a point , for a one-point shift overall, with 4% still unsure.