Kerry And Woody Remain Tied In Zogby Poll

www.reuters.com

if the race is seen as very close, the Kerry voters will be highly motivated to get out and vote, rather than stay home because Kerry's not their first choice, or vote for someone else again because Kerry's not their first choice. And maybe we want to see polls showing Bush ahead, even if only slightly, so that over-confident Republicans will stay home.

As someone said back on election day 1976, remember that a low voter turnout favors Republicans, so if you're a Republican, don't vote.

The number of likely voters who believe Bush deserves to be re-elected dropped from 47 percent to 45 percent over the last four days, with the number of voters who believe it is time for someone new climbing from 48 percent to 51 percent.

But the stubborn gap between those who want a new president and those who support Kerry indicates he still has not convinced some voters that he is a worthy alternative to Bush.

EDIT: Link won't work yet.

I think this election will resemble 00...

The operative word is resemble...


It won't be a duplicate...


Fearless Prediction


Kerry 48.7%

WoodforBrains 48.5%

Nader .05

Scatered 2.4%

doesn't poll ahead of his opponent outside of the MOE, two weeks before the general election.

Don't look too good for Crawford. They may be getting their idiot back four years earlier than they expected. Of course, its four years later than the rest of us deserved.

http://www.reuters.com/newsArticle.jhtml;jsessionid=WHJZZSDGEMLMYCRBAEZSFEY?type=topNews&storyID=6540135

"The candidates are still in a statistical dead heat, with Kerry making incremental gains in a steady drip-drip-drip that has eroded the president's lead," said pollster John Zogby. Bush had a four-point lead three days ago.

The number of likely voters who believe Bush deserves to be re-elected dropped from 47 percent to 45 percent over the last four days, with the number of voters who believe it is time for someone new climbing from 48 percent to 51 percent.

But the stubborn gap between those who want a new president and those who support Kerry indicates he still has not convinced some voters that he is a worthy alternative to Bush.

"With 51 percent saying it is time for someone new and 45 percent supporting Kerry, he is still underperforming," Zogby said.

What does this mean for Kerry's numbers in yesterday's polling? Would Bush have had to have had a decent day for it to be tied again?