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callous taoboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:51 AM
Original message
Bush in a landslide?
I know, it makes me grimace too. But I just had a parent conference with a highly intelligent couple. He wore a "Regime change begins at home" t-shirt. At the end of the conference I said I liked his shirt.
They both think that it will be bush in a landslide. They claim that Kerry will get the popular vote but that the electoral will go for bush.

Comments?
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bigtree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
1. reverse of that
looking at the battleground polls
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:59 AM
Response to Reply #1
13. Wasn't the chimp planning on contesting the results of the election in
'00 if he got the popular vote and Gore won the ev? I know after the reverse happened he claimed he never said that. How after '00 can the chimp if he get the popular vote and not the ev contest the election after what happened in '00. The repugs ran around saying that the popular vote doesn't matter, it's the ev that elects the Pres. I know, they are the party of hypocrites, but still...........
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Texas_Dem Donating Member (584 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
2. No. Even in Texas, there will be no landslide for Shrub.
Edited on Tue Oct-19-04 11:53 AM by Texas_Dem
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Warren DeMontague Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
3. I don't think any time you have a popular/EV split you can call it a

"landslide".
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RafterMan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:53 AM
Response to Original message
4. If Kerry gets the popular vote
and Bush gets the electoral vote, how does this constitute a "landslide"?

This is just BS.
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DemocratSinceBirth Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
5. Are They Ignorant?
how the hell can you lose the pop vote but win the E C in a landslide...

We have had the E C for over two hundred years and it never happened...
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WilliamPitt Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:54 AM
Response to Original message
6. Opinions are like assholes
Everyone's got one, even people with cool shirts.

:)
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Thrill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
7. They underestimate minority and young voter
Edited on Tue Oct-19-04 11:55 AM by BrentTaylor
turnout. And they also seem to be looking at Faux and CNN and their bogus polls
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Lex Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:55 AM
Response to Original message
8. Not a chance.
Kerry is leading in all the key battleground states.

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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:56 AM
Response to Original message
9. No way that would happen
A candidate only gets an electoral landslide if he wins the popular vote by a decent margin.
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progressivebydesign Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:56 AM
Response to Original message
10. The only way it'll be Bush in a landslide..
.. is if he vacations under an unstable mountain. If Bush wins (GOD FORBID!), it'l be thru trickery and cheating and the Supreme Court. Kerry will win the popular by a landslide, BUSH will hold up the electoral college thru legal action.
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Killarney Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:57 AM
Response to Original message
11. If Kerry wins the popular vote, obviously it's not a landslide.
How fucking dumb are those people?
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fob Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 11:58 AM
Response to Original message
12. WTF is up with the shirt? Are they Kerry supporters that think
bush*co is gonna win by way of stealing again?
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TSIAS Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 12:02 PM
Response to Original message
14. That makes no sense
I agree about the possibility of Bush winning narrowly. It's not necessarily the most likely outcome, but it remains feasible. If Kerry were to win the popular vote and lose the EC (or vice versa), it would be by a very slim margin.

Provided we turn out our vote in a handful of states, there's no reason Kerry can't clearly win both the popular and electoral vote.
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callous taoboy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
15. All righty then...
Like ducks on a junebug you guys pounce!:)

Thanks! I think I can eat lunch again.

No, I have the deepest respect for this couple, both biologists.
But I was surprised and, yes, I thought it odd to give the popular to Kerry and electoral to * and call it a landslide, but we were out of time.
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WI_DEM Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 12:05 PM
Response to Original message
16. they may be highly intelligent but not necessarily in politics
No way Bush wins by a landslide. It is actually more possible for Kerry to win in a last minute shift. Bush is the known quantity if he hasn't sold the country yet on him as president it isn't going to happen at the last minute.
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Onlooker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Oct-19-04 12:09 PM
Response to Original message
17. The only evidence supports a close race
Of course anything can happen.

- Perhaps people who only have cell phones are mostly Democrats and will vote overwhelmingly for Kerry
- Maybe military families are closeted Kerry families, as some people claim
- Maybe the fundies aren't as motivated as people say
- Maybe overseas votes will go overwhelmingly for Kerry
- Maybe Democrats will all come home and vote for Kerry

But, even if none of those things happen, and the pollsters are 99% on target, then it sounds like Kerry could win or Bush could win. In the absence of better evidence, I just assume this is very close race with an infintesimally small advantage to Kerry.
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