Zogby: 52-38 Kerry Among Newly Registered Voters

In todays Zogby that has Bush/Kerry at 46 each, Zogby says that among newly registered voters Kerry leads 52-38 - the challenge is to get them to vote. He also says that they are tied with seniors which I do not understand since yesterday he reported a 10% drop of Bush among seniors and said Kerry lead in that category by 10% (bit confusing).

Please give me his updates for Pennsylvania, Florida, and Ohio, if you have those Premium Numbers.

I subscribe to Rasmussen, and Kerry's numbers are 47% tie in Florida and Ohio, both vast improvements in a week. Kerry is up 50%-45% in Pennsylvania, a steady increase over the last week.

I'm interested in the Zogby data for these three states.

These are from his "interactive" method.

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html

Same with Florida. I think basically what it all says is that it's a big toss up in these states. Who knows. These newly registered will make a lot of difference. Question: when I saw these "newly registered" stats from Zogby, I assume they are not already counted in the 46-46 tie. In other words, when he ran across a newly registered, they went into a separate category????

At least Zogby is tracking this...and I think we'll start seeing some interesting breaks in the polls at the end of the week as the Kerry uptrends really start to take hold.

Attempts at manipulating the news are starting to falter for this regime and they really don't have anything going right now...I sense a lull before the final storm (fasten your seatbelt) and I'm sensing a bit of regrouping going on in Roveland as they try to find a way to drive up Kerry's negatives and suppress the vote in the final week...the only way Rove knows he can win.

I got all this info from Reuters off my dish tv and in the report it said "tied among seniors". Yesterday it said that Bush fell from 53% to 43% among seniors in one month (Sept. to Oct.) and that Kerry was ahead with seniors by 10%. If anyone is looking directly at Zogby's numbers (I'll go see what I can find) could they clarify what the stat is on this?? I don't have a "subscription" or whatever you call it to Zogby. Thanks.

They break down by specific age, but really no other questions. I've seen him testing the younger demos with some goofy questions, but about the only other qualifier that I've noticed on his polls is "are you a member of the investor class"...and that's a lose definition, too since I consider myself in that group and I'm not AARP material, yet.

DIA...I've seen a lot of data floating around lately and the problem is...my lifelong bitch on research in general...you get numbers but not much more. Rarely do you know what question is asked, where the polling took place, what percentage of responses the pollster got vs. calls made (it's amazing how many get frustrated and just stop calling and make up numbers).

http://online.wsj.com/public/resources/documents/info-battleground04.html

Here's the updated Zogby battleground map...doesn't look as good as last week, but it's showing Kerry starting to pull away in key states and a big surge in the remaining would put this thing away.

Cheers!

for WJ. Take your mouse and aim it at a bunch of those red states like TN, WV, MO, etc. and Bush is just a razor breath ahead. At least in some of the iffy ones for us like Iowa and Wisconsin, it's like a 4 point or more lead for Kerry. There are states out there for the taking and maybe the subject of my post here will be what puts it over the top. Now wouldn't that be just glorious??!!