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NBC-Wall Street Journal, Oct. 16-18, 831 LV, MoE +/-3.5 (Results from September NBC-WSJ poll in parentheses) —Bush, 48 percent (50) —Kerry, 48 percent (46) —Nader, 1 percent (1) —Unsure, 3 percent (3) Pew Research Center, Oct. 15-19, 1,070 LV, MoE +/-3.5 (Results from Pew poll in early October in parentheses) —Bush, 47 percent (49) —Kerry, 47 percent (44) —Nader, 1 percent (2) —Unsure, 5 percent (5) FLORIDA — 27 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 537 votes) Mason-Dixon for various news organizations, Oct. 14-16, 625 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from early October Mason-Dixon poll in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 48 percent (48) —Kerry-Edwards, 45 percent (44) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (2) —Unsure, 6 percent (6) NEW HAMPSHIRE — 4 electoral votes (Bush won in 2000 by 1.3 percentage points) American Research Group, Oct. 16-18, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from September ARG poll in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 47 percent (47) —Kerry-Edwards, 46 percent (47) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1) —Unsure, 6 percent (5) NEW MEXICO — 5 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.1 percentage points) American Research Group, Oct. 16-18, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from September ARG poll in parentheses) —Kerry-Edwards, 48 percent (49) —Bush-Cheney, 46 percent (44) —Nader-Camejo, 1 percent (1) —Unsure, 5 percent (6) WISCONSIN — 10 electoral votes (Gore won in 2000 by 0.2 percentage points) American Research Group, Oct. 16-19, 600 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from September ARG poll in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 47 percent (46) —Kerry-Edwards, 47 percent (46) —Nader-Camejo, 2 percent (1) —Unsure, 4 percent (7) CNN-USA Today-Gallup, Oct. 16-19, 678 LV, MoE +/-4 (Results from early October CNN-USA Today-Gallup poll in parentheses) —Bush-Cheney, 50 percent (49) —Kerry-Edwards, 44 percent (46) —Nader-Camejo, 3 percent (2) —Unsure, 3 percent (3)
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