RON FOURNIER
Associated Press
WASHINGTON - The presidential race is too close to project a winner right now, but that doesn't mean it will be too close on Election Day to prevent a landslide.
Winner-take-all Electoral College math could convert a modest burst of momentum from President Bush or Sen. John Kerry into a sweep of tossup states - and a presidential mandate.
With state and national polls showing the race essentially tied, Bush and Kerry are making strategic decisions based on the assumption that that the popular vote will be evenly divided and every Electoral College vote will count. Thus, in the final weeks of the campaign, they pulled money out of second-tier battlegrounds like Missouri and Oregon to focus on the few states that are most likely to break the stalemate.
That doesn't mean the dozen second-tier battlegrounds can't come into play. "The math adds up a lot of different ways," said Democratic strategist Jim Jordan.
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"I'm absolutely sure that all of these polls are underrepresenting key Democratic constituencies in a significant way," Jordan said. "Couple that with what I think is our superior ground game and, even if Kerry is tied in polls, it's absolutely possible he takes every one" of the tossup states.
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