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The State Polls Are Enough to Drive You to Drink!!!!!!!!

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
DemocracyInaction Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 08:47 AM
Original message
The State Polls Are Enough to Drive You to Drink!!!!!!!!
I've never seen such a cluster fuck in all my life. Today, I bet I could find you a battleground stat on any of those states that says Kerry is leading by a comfortable margain, a poll that says he's getting the shit kicked out of him and a poll that says it's dead even. And, I could reverse it and show you the same regarding Bush. Hell, I probably could find one that says that Ralphie is beating both of them hands down!!! Seriously, I've never seen things so utterly all over the place in my life!!

I have to raise an eyebrow when I see things like that Quinnepak (sp?) poll that in one state (cannot even remember anymore) having a jump in a week for Bush from 7-8 down to 2 ahead. Bullshit--nothing out there is moving that fast. I really wonder if any of them are even remotely on the scent of what is going to go on in those battleground states. Just scan DU for a moment and you can see what I'm talking about and the media is even worse. This is just insane. I guess a good indicator is where you see these guys campaigning.

I wonder if they know up from down themselves??????
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ramapo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 08:48 AM
Response to Original message
1. The whole situation will make you drunk
I don't read the polls...the headlines are bad enough since they're impossible to ignore.

I can't wait until Tuesday to get this over with....
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donco6 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 08:49 AM
Response to Original message
2. And Michigan moving from Bush 5 points up to 5 down
in a week. C'mon. It just doesn't happen. Something's wrong with polling methodology if that happens.
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DemocracyInaction Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 09:00 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. don---that's why it infuriates me when the news media even runs that
crap. Obviously few polls are showing any kind of wild swings like that and yet when one comes out they hawk it like the gospel truth.
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donco6 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Obviously, by people who never work with real polls.
We do them all the time here when we're gauging whether we can run a bond election. I can say that from YEAR to YEAR we don't see shifts like that. Ever.
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lancdem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Oct-28-04 02:19 PM
Response to Original message
5. State polls are always all over the place
The same thing happened in 2000. For instance, there were polls showing NJ close (like now) before Gore ended up winning by 16.
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