Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

Zogby poll of the battleground states

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
question everything Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-04 09:10 PM
Original message
Zogby poll of the battleground states
I posted the story on the LBN forum, but here are more details:
State Details

NOV. 1 Poll Results
State...Bush.....Kerry.....Nader

AR......50.1.....46.9......0.5
FL......47.0.....48.0......N/A
IA......44.0.....50.0......N/A
MI......45.0.....52.0......N/A
MN......47.0.....49.0......N/A
MO......51.4.....47.2......0.7
NV......50.0.....45.0......N/A
NH......45.7.....50.2......1.0
NM......49.0.....49.0......N/A
OH......48.0.....44.0......N/A
OR......43.8.....53.9......0.5
PA......45.0.....50.0......N/A
TN......50.4.....47.1......0.4
WA......43.4.....54.6......0.3
WV......50.1.....45.6......0.2
WI......44.0.....51.0......N/A

The latest poll was conducted by telephone Oct. 28-31 and online Oct. 25-30 (for more information, please click the Methodology tab). Presuming that all the states are won by the current leading candidates and that the other 34 states -- and the District of Columbia -- go as they did in the 2000 election, which isn't guaranteed, Mr. Kerry would get 286 electoral votes and Mr. Bush would get 247. This analysis doesn't include New Mexico, which shows up as a tie in the latest poll, but the state's five electoral votes wouldn't sway the final result of the election in this scenario.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
bigpathpaul Donating Member (623 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-04 09:19 PM
Response to Original message
1. So if we get Ohio, it's a nice comfortable margin, but even if we don't,
we're still OK? And, we're pretty much within the M.O.E. everywhere we're not on top. So; looks OK, right?
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
question everything Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-04 09:58 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Looks like that. On my spreadsheet, Kerry gets 306 ev, Bush 227 n/t
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Bok_Tukalo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-01-04 09:20 PM
Response to Original message
2. So, again, it comes down to Florida?
With a marginal edge for the Democrat in an election being held in a state whose Executive is the brother of the Republican candidate, I think I understand the Bush Campaign's recent talking point that they hope the race is decided tomorrow and that it isn't decided in the courts.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Tue Apr 30th 2024, 03:45 AM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC