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Political oddsmaker website: IT'S KERRY!

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Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion: Presidential (Through Nov 2009) Donate to DU
 
jsw_81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:09 PM
Original message
Political oddsmaker website: IT'S KERRY!
PRESIDENT 2004

FINAL ODDS POSTED 2:25 PM: John Kerry (D) favored over George Bush (R), 200 to 199 (50.1% chance)

ANALYSIS: Most conventional, measureable methods of analysis point to a slim Bush win. Bush has maintained a tiny lead in national polling. But unconventional methods of analysis that take into account voter composition, turnout and intensity indicate a Kerry victory, especially in key states.

http://www.campaignline.com/oddsmaker/?CFID=883057&CFTOKEN=49167799

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

This guy is never wrong.
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Fluffdaddy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:11 PM
Response to Original message
1. Don't like this link
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:12 PM
Response to Original message
2. It's true -- you're right.
He is unbelievably accurate. He called every single state correctly in 2000 except Oregon, I think. And he only issed that by 1%.

Kerry wins. Bush loses. Hot dog!
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jsw_81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:13 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. Can you say President Kerry?
I sure can!
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saltpoint Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:15 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Yes. And it sure sounds better than --
-- 'President Bush,' doesn't it?
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high density Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:16 PM
Response to Original message
5. 50.1% chance?
LOL, that puts my mind to ease... Not. :)
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PROGRESSIVE1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:17 PM
Response to Original message
6. He also has Democrats loosing many Senate seats too.
I'll ignore this stupid site.
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jsw_81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Tue Nov-02-04 03:28 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Stupid site?
I don't think so. This guy has called virtually every race correctly going back eight years. House, Senate, gubernatatorial, presidential, you name it.

You shouldn't ignore him just because he isn't predicting an across the board Dem landslide victory.
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