Slate: Updated Exit Polls (3:34pm ET)

Some of these appear to have been updated, and others have not.

Again: TAKE THIS ALL WITH A GRAIN OF SALT. AND FOR GODSAKES-- VOTE, NO MATTER WHAT THESE EXIT POLLS TELL YOU!!!

http://www.slate.com/id/2109053/
Early Exit
A squeaker!
By Jack Shafer
Updated Tuesday, Nov. 2, 2004, at 12:34 PM PT

The first wave of exit-poll data reaching my desk comes from a variety of sources. In some states the sources disagree about the specific margin by which a candidate leads, but never about which candidate is out in front. Some of the confusion may stem from the mixing of morning exit-poll numbers with early afternoon numbers.

With those provisos, and the understanding that the early numbers are predictive of nothing without their accompanying computer model, here's what I've heard:

Florida
Kerry 50
Bush 49

Ohio
Kerry 50
Bush 49

Michigan
Kerry 51
Bush 47

Minnesota
Kerry 58
Bush 40

Nevada
Kerry 48
Bush 50

New Mexico
Kerry 50
Bush 48

North Carolina
Kerry 49
Bush 51

Colorado
Kerry 46
Bush 53

Other exit-poll results have arrived in more vague form, with Kerry leading Bush in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Hampshire but trailing him in Arizona and Louisiana.

DON'T LET UP! KEEP FIGHTING!

VOTE!

!

I'm back to thinking this is going to be a nailbiter until the end!

Gah!

come on everyone! KEEP WORKING!!!

david

That should be something to watch for, I thought it was safe red.

I think those last minute ads they ran about Edwards may have tipped the scales. "From here. For all America."

The Dems are starting to make it an even test in because of the West

(which we are as of right now, according to the polls), we should be ok

Pennsylvania
Kerry 54
Bush 45

Wisconsin
Kerry 51
Bush 46

...that 60-40 figure they showed earlier today... as much as I would have loved a 20-point victory in Pennsylvania.

:-)

-MR

Pinal county is expecting 85%, and the state party is expecting 75%+. If Pinal and Res. turnout is that high, it could (and I say could) swing AZ blue.